College Football · resolved market
Spread: Miami (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f243912c238ab290f30815ee81d330dc3ee45e66f35ba9c09a4108b7331fa8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miamiof Miami, Pittsburgh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Pittsburgh | 57c | 7,915$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.67 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Miami | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Miami | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami | 43c | 1,575$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.95 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pittsburgh | 56c | 1,482$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.12 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Miami | 44c | 1,394$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.88 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Miami | 44c | 1,294$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.4 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Miami | 44c | 873.49$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.15 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Pittsburgh | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…e0ebbacked Pittsburgh | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Pittsburgh | 57c | 224.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Miami | 45c | 177.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Miami | 43c | 168.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…4a49backed Miami | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pittsburgh | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh | 53c | 96.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Miami | 44c | 89.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Pittsburgh | 55c | 72.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Pittsburgh | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Miami | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Miami | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Miami | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (-7.5)this page
- Miami vs. PittsburghMiami won
- Miami vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 49.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (-6.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.