AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b77ff9a4584d7e6e5bf222445cd55112947fcce711d2337866227925b485ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6b0…ce9ebacked Yes | 21c | 6,680$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7352…e156backed Yes | 19c | 5,847$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.88 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 10c | 5,334$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.94 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…6805backed Yes | 6c | 4,010$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,372$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.79 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed64…7c2ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 21c | 1,405$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.93 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…9c32backed Yes | 3c | 1,198$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,152$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,021$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 28c | 982.54$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 77c | 911.43$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 910.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 16c | 847.35$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd36c…6b38backed Yes | 59c | 843.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +598.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 61c | 836.18$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.07 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 27c | 815.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 21c | 773.28$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 706.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 37c | 684.49$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.26 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 27c | 615.7$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…311fbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +376.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 6c | 555.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…369fbacked Yes | 33c | 535.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…714ebacked Yes | 27c | 523.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…a109backed Yes | 12c | 504.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 16c | 504.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 64c | 458.65$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.45 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed Yes | 31c | 456.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 41c | 426.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…2f4ebacked Yes | 28c | 400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 393.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 731 | 35.6%260 W · 471 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…aa04backed Yes | 26c | 383.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3be…582bbacked Yes | 16c | 373.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…05d0backed Yes | 6c | 343.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 76c | 333.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 38c | 332.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 87 | 0%0 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Yes | 32c | 294.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 11c | 292.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 274.79$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 4c | 264.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 77c | 257.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed No | 79c | 254.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…c98fbacked No | 75c | 245$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 241$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 85 | 0%0 W · 85 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…7032backed Yes | 5c | 237.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba7…ae61backed Yes | 35c | 200.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…9fdfbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…169abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…8b21backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +395.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f2…5a03backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 73c | 196$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 72c | 185.81$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 183.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 12c | 183$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 20c | 177.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc434…7003backed Yes | 29c | 170.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…dffdbacked Yes | 28c | 162.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…aa2bbacked Yes | 46c | 162.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 37c | 160.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Yes | 32c | 158.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d8…841fbacked Yes | 37c | 156.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…8864backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc68…bf42backed Yes | 26c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 22c | 136.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…5a69backed Yes | 15c | 135.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a47…6b59backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…81d8backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2994…fde2backed Yes | 40c | 125.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ea…b011backed Yes | 34c | 122.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ad…5306backed Yes | 26c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +462%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 117.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 258 | 31.8%82 W · 176 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…217bbacked Yes | 28c | 107.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…e11abacked Yes | 32c | 107.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb09…9143backed Yes | 16c | 107$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…e2ffbacked Yes | 39c | 104.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb4…b2c1backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…c565backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 75c | 97.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…cfddbacked No | 73c | 92.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 23c | 92.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…b50bbacked Yes | 33c | 90.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 66c | 90.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…9d7ebacked Yes | 22c | 88.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b16…a379backed Yes | 34c | 81.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…3cc7backed Yes | 25c | 81.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.