World Politics · resolved market
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac594b2385387474e8ad819047a94549ac6fbd1c6ccdb8a2515a36a3427faac0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3400…4832backed Yes | 19c | 15,362$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed No | 35c | 11,651$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,627.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 35c | 11,262$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,365.61 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3be…39a5backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 18c | 7,222$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…ab52backed Yes | 10c | 6,345$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 26c | 5,084$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…93c8backed Yes | 21c | 4,396$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…b247backed Yes | 61c | 4,377$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked No | 17c | 3,600$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed No | 12c | 3,396$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,390$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…ae9bbacked Yes | 19c | 3,381$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 14c | 3,358$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 34c | 3,283$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 7c | 2,800$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…c33ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,788$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked No | 9c | 2,389$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.72 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 15c | 2,285$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 32c | 2,262$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.98 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8241…e82fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,207$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 57c | 2,159$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 12c | 2,117$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 11c | 2,000$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.85 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 1,934$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.43 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…e99ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,820$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab5…b148backed Yes | 28c | 1,788$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 15c | 1,756$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,729$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 77c | 1,632$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.15 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…5fccbacked Yes | 31c | 1,590$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed No | 25c | 1,587$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +304.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 18c | 1,549$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…d068backed Yes | 22c | 1,533$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,511$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.12 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 12c | 1,499$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 78c | 1,481$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.91 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 79c | 1,445$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed No | 23c | 1,400$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,357$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0248…b880backed Yes | 19c | 1,348$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 13c | 1,310$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 12c | 1,300$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 64c | 1,293$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,291$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.49 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,285$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.81 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d928backed Yes | 16c | 1,234$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 20c | 1,229$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4314backed Yes | 12c | 1,202$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 11c | 1,200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.1 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,200$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…c980backed Yes | 14c | 1,185$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 6c | 1,180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2251…25a0backed Yes | 62c | 1,156$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 20c | 1,060$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…5d41backed No | 35c | 1,035$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…724cbacked No | 12c | 1,023$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +378.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 9c | 1,005$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ae…6f63backed Yes | 22c | 994.75$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…ef0dbacked Yes | 16c | 944.49$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…a6a2backed Yes | 16c | 904.62$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…4bccbacked No | 77c | 903.66$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 64c | 891.68$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.87 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed No | 4c | 887.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.29 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 17c | 881.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 852.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 18c | 845.95$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…a0efbacked No | 13c | 830.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +641%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 7c | 803.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.31 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…daf1backed Yes | 18c | 803.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…8dc6backed Yes | 30c | 776.35$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ab…31f8backed Yes | 15c | 748.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 31c | 710.23$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +284.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…ac80backed No | 36c | 693.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 21c | 662.24$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…aacfbacked Yes | 27c | 660.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 25c | 657.27$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.21 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 78c | 654.06$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…c5f0backed No | 11c | 650$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 77c | 642.87$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 60c | 625.05$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed No | 9c | 614$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +201.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…2979backed Yes | 18c | 611.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed No | 7c | 601.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked No | 66c | 601.27$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.47 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 43c | 595.07$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.02 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7be…f3ecbacked Yes | 20c | 584$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…a8d3backed Yes | 21c | 579.73$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 75c | 569.27$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…ca73backed Yes | 18c | 560.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 550.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.91 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…562abacked Yes | 20c | 545.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…81aebacked Yes | 20c | 543.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 19c | 539.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…c8e5backed Yes | 19c | 532.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 74c | 531.8$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 77c | 520.23$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?this page
- Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by July 31?No won
- Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.