TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5753…fa31

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
273
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT6940.6%28 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.76
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.01
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$22.57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+400%+$140.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$28.69
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$31.46
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+176%+$167.21
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$22.28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.04
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.04
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$99.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+253.4%+$88.67
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$48.35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.01
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$68.53
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.42
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.39
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.34
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.6
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
All 22 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.58
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.02
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs NPC's IRL (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37%+$3.7
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.53
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.13
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+135.3%+$21.68
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.01
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.01
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+76.1%+$18.28
Dota 2: REKONIX vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.01
Dota 2: Heroic vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.5%+$11.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+141.8%+$22.71
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+149.1%+$23.89
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.33
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.02
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.02
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.02
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.09
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.81
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.16
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$12.47
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.2
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$17.98
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.02
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+119.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.01
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.01
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,403.4%+$561.51
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$66.13
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+1,308.5%+$223.66
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$17.96
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.31
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.01
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$19.93
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$317.28
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.42
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$3.7
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+76.2%+$15.25
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.7
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.82
Antalya: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Rotterdam Open: Hugo Grenier vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.09
Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Dallas Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.5
Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Titouan Droguetbacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+160.1%+$32.03
Open Sud de France: Martin Damm vs Luca Nardibacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.32
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5.88
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37%+$3.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+182.3%+$22.6
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+198.6%+$59.59
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+223.2%+$85.87
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.67
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.42
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+76.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+304%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+250.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Jerry Heil win Vidbir 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+314.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+314.4%+$325.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eyüpspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$22.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.