MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaef94eb848532e3d8f211bceebd2e50578dfe81eea93403ad75c51e443aadae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Seattle Mariners, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 49,566$25,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,287.43 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 19,998$10,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,948.96 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 16,557$8,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,113.07 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…971ebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 14,101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 12,846$8,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.2 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 11,717$5,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,751.67 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 10,854$5,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,318.46 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 9,594$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.16 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 13c | 7,719$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.73 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 7,400$3,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.98 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 7,352$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.39 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked San Diego Padres | 16c | 5,000$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,206.64 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.87 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 4,892$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 4,707$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 4,703$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 4,505$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 4,469$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 4,308$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.93 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 4,105$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.72 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 4,008$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.88 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 3,799$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 3,549$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.3 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 3,426$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.57 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 3,017$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.34 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,935$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.69 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 2,847$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.58 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 2,679$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.7 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 2,668$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.41 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 2,416$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.41 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…92d8backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,372$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 2,311$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 2,302$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.76 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 2,002$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.52 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 1,998$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.91 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 74c | 1,995$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,987$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.78 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres | 4c | 1,972$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.68 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 1,949$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.65 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,903$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.36 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…fb4abacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,898$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,602$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 1,510$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.91 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,497$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.46 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Seattle Mariners | 76c | 1,442$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.93 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,200$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.25 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,200$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 1,197$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.81 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Seattle Mariners | 8c | 1,100$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 998.33$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 994.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.36 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Seattle Mariners | 7c | 949.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 938.07$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.35 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 931.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.92 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 897.82$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.58 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 878.54$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.48 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked San Diego Padres | 17c | 781.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.26 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…96fcbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 741.69$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 703.83$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.92 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 692.15$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.15 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 683.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.07 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 650$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 638.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed San Diego Padres | 4c | 629.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.03 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Seattle Mariners | 73c | 590.28$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.91 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 570.95$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 567.11$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed San Diego Padres | 13c | 556.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.52 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 552.1$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 543.2$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…2578backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 523.8$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…7211backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 511.49$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 499.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.94 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 494.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.94 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a8…6c17backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 484.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 454.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.65 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…c8d9backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 443.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 434.23$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 415.46$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 402.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 399.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.67 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 393.82$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 378.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 366$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.46 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Seattle Mariners | 71c | 359.83$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.48 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…a829backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 357.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 355.14$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.65 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…a35ebacked San Diego Padres | 14c | 348.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.77 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.