Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7445a88de2a3992a2f4c0f13589f915675d3e5f4dae8a50a57308d93f365c116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $427,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Yes | 8c | 28,274$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,093.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 20cpaid | +516.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…ac35backed Yes | 50c | 15,983$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,957.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 13c | 15,870$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,744.66 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 71c | 15,346$10,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,839.74 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 9c | 14,797$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,420.32 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 7c | 12,221$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,321.35 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…32d5backed Yes | 5c | 7,079$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,697.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,759%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 12c | 6,104$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,371.44 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes | 0c | 5,293$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.45 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +1,064.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 76c | 5,026$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,519$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.86 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e64…9b93backed Yes | 21c | 4,442$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fa…519bbacked No | 0c | 4,249$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…e59cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,948$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +401.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed55…d480backed Yes | 19c | 3,704$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +338.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 42c | 3,332$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.08 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 6c | 2,965$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.33 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +270.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 26c | 2,923$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.01 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes | 61c | 2,411$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 9c | 2,223$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.37 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…906ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,144$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.49per pick | 24cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 2,096$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.77 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…2df4backed Yes | 24c | 2,092$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 5c | 2,084$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +633.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +599.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…4b7cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,924$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 6c | 1,848$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.48 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 1,845$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.29 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 1,610$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +556.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.63 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1f…d7cebacked Yes | 12c | 1,492$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +176.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 13c | 1,472$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…5ba3backed Yes | 1c | 1,462$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +1,983.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…8e33backed Yes | 10c | 1,411$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +126%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 9c | 1,394$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.83 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…b6dcbacked Yes | 15c | 1,258$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.39 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 57c | 1,129$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…6dd8backed Yes | 31c | 1,011$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee32…c685backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1395backed Yes | 33c | 987.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +332.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…fddebacked Yes | 8c | 970.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…b9a5backed No | 29c | 949.48$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 11c | 907.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.2 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6361backed No | 25c | 875$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8892…c9eebacked Yes | 12c | 829.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f05…8a73backed Yes | 6c | 777.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.89 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…f7a8backed No | 31c | 750$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 747.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.92 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9822…c7d0backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b47…af01backed Yes | 8c | 642.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…0de9backed Yes | 48c | 626.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +1,024.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…f36fbacked Yes | 24c | 580.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.67 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked Yes | 9c | 549.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +975.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…308bbacked Yes | 25c | 533.51$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.87 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…1728backed Yes | 4c | 508.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 12c | 505.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.07 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 7c | 500$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.5 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…c234backed Yes | 20c | 479.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +388.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 370.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.39 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…f266backed Yes | 22c | 335.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.74 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…42eebacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269f…5a20backed Yes | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…38c7backed No | 25c | 290$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +464.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…a04abacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…abccbacked Yes | 5c | 264.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +528.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 8c | 263.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 8c | 246.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.47 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…522abacked Yes | 35c | 238$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…9de3backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8346…d8ddbacked Yes | 21c | 227.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 9c | 223.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…f344backed Yes | 45c | 222.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.65per pick | 19cpaid | +1,105.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…15aebacked Yes | 10c | 214.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +421.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…28c0backed Yes | 17c | 214$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…b3c3backed Yes | 11c | 210$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9aa…be83backed Yes | 7c | 202.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…066fbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +641.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…299fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…3ad3backed Yes | 5c | 194.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +435.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 76c | 192.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b891backed Yes | 23c | 171.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Yes | 22c | 171.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c6…6050backed Yes | 23c | 170.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +327.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…4ac0backed Yes | 11c | 170.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa325…aac7backed Yes | 39c | 169.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 32c | 150.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 33c | 148.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…8598backed Yes | 12c | 143.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +322.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed Yes | 11c | 143.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +304%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 23c | 140.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…5650backed No | 76c | 132.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Yes | 16c | 127.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +222.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…40f8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…d4fabacked Yes | 8c | 120.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,087.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…1972backed Yes | 59c | 118.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…5b1ebacked Yes | 35c | 115.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…4735backed Yes | 17c | 115$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Yes | 26c | 103.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,100 January 26-1?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 January 26-1?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,300 January 26-1?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 26-1?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 26-1?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 January 26-1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.