Tennis · resolved market
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd24bed960bf518a19080def733176767b96fe3d91af45440241918c75c2a6193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Minaur, Fils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $717,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe39d…e3dcbacked Fils | 27c | 422,391$115,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,960.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Minaur | 73c | 175,000$127,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,750 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Minaur | 80c | 130,385$103,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,436.34 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minaur | 73c | 46,116$33,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,535.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Minaur | 75c | 41,080$30,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,367.18 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Minaur | 74c | 18,865$13,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941.24 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Minaur | 78c | 18,544$14,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.73 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minaur | 73c | 18,351$13,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.06 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Minaur | 70c | 14,304$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.9 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Fils | 21c | 13,613$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.37 | 1,694 | 50.5%856 W · 838 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minaur | 73c | 13,516$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.04 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Fils | 11c | 9,844$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.06 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Minaur | 77c | 8,256$6,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.36 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minaur | 73c | 8,064$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.12 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Minaur | 73c | 6,426$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fils | 24c | 6,222$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.14 | 785 | 52.9%415 W · 370 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Fils | 28c | 5,987$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Fils | 28c | 5,208$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Fils | 20c | 5,070$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.96 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Minaur | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b7…00a0backed Minaur | 71c | 4,629$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fils | 2c | 4,460$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Minaur | 71c | 4,286$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.74 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Fils | 25c | 4,055$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Fils | 23c | 3,478$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 333 | 36.9%123 W · 210 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Fils | 2c | 2,780$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Minaur | 74c | 2,713$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.45 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fils | 21c | 2,634$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.58 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minaur | 74c | 2,058$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.3 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Minaur | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | +29.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Fils | 20c | 1,831$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.2 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fils | 23c | 1,785$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.12 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Minaur | 73c | 1,675$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.72 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Fils | 30c | 1,649$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Fils | 1c | 1,615$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Minaur | 80c | 1,600$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.7 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Fils | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Fils | 30c | 1,470$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Minaur | 79c | 1,403$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 239 | 69.9%167 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Fils | 20c | 1,398$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.66 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Minaur | 72c | 1,371$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.83 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…b911backed Minaur | 74c | 1,369$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.88 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Fils | 25c | 1,342$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.95 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Minaur | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 1,742 | 50.2%875 W · 867 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…b2ccbacked Fils | 26c | 1,306$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fils | 22c | 1,163$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.38 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Fils | 10c | 1,060$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Fils | 24c | 1,034$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.35 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Minaur | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Minaur | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Fils | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 271 | 54.2%147 W · 124 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Fils | 24c | 935.87$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.61 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Minaur | 79c | 880.47$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…a9c8backed Minaur | 72c | 803.9$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.2 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…4f89backed Minaur | 75c | 797.89$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Fils | 26c | 780$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fils | 23c | 681.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Fils | 27c | 666.73$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…14f4backed Minaur | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Minaur | 76c | 659.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…927ebacked Minaur | 75c | 644.67$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…fea6backed Minaur | 75c | 643.85$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa2…4320backed Fils | 25c | 577.49$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed Fils | 2c | 556.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Minaur | 73c | 546.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.03 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Minaur | 78c | 539.98$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Minaur | 76c | 538.99$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Minaur | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Fils | 9c | 479.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Fils | 22c | 472.73$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Minaur | 73c | 465.83$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Minaur | 72c | 461.34$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Minaur | 74c | 457.54$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 377 | 44.3%167 W · 210 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Minaur | 80c | 444.38$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Minaur | 80c | 406.46$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Minaur | 79c | 404.21$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Minaur | 70c | 404$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.42 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Fils | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Minaur | 78c | 383.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Minaur | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Fils | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fils | 25c | 349.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Fils | 21c | 341$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Minaur | 75c | 307$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Minaur | 76c | 303.23$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Fils | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Fils | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Fils | 20c | 297.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Fils | 9c | 295.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Fils | 29c | 295.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Fils | 23c | 295$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Fils | 22c | 289.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fils | 23c | 275.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Minaur | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Fils | 25c | 257$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…c64dbacked Fils | 18c | 255.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…6405backed Minaur | 79c | 253.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Fils | 22c | 247.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 333 | 41.4%138 W · 195 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…a8aabacked Minaur | 79c | 219.39$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Minaur | 73c | 219.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Filsthis page
- Minaur vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Minaur vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs FilsMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.