MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a475739742d534e05053b50363b1997eea624fe0807aeb50ffbcd1d51ac2be0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 52,186$17,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,734.44 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 46,037$17,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,909.06 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 29,000$11,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,979.98 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed New York Mets | 62c | 27,465$17,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,028.42 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets | 61c | 21,835$13,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400.81 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed New York Mets | 63c | 18,625$11,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,733.6 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets | 68c | 18,246$12,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,333.06 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed New York Mets | 63c | 15,556$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed New York Mets | 60c | 15,246$9,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,095.31 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 15,133$5,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,189.37 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 13,043$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,825.75 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets | 1c | 10,537$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked New York Mets | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.97 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Mets | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.95 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 74c | 9,938$7,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,376.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets | 65c | 7,370$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.29 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb9…01bfbacked New York Mets | 63c | 7,262$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Mets | 69c | 6,717$4,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640.6 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 6,670$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157.88 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Mets | 69c | 6,056$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208.81 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 5,213$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.48 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New York Mets | 60c | 4,735$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.33 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 4,724$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.79 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 4,357$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.46 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked New York Mets | 73c | 4,296$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.24 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 46c | 4,186$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,762$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.87 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed New York Mets | 60c | 3,253$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 3,193$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.25 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed New York Mets | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Mets | 60c | 2,833$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.74 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,823$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.7 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 2,655$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Mets | 62c | 2,584$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.84 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 2,554$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.53 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 76c | 2,517$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.92 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,406$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 67c | 2,400$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked New York Mets | 67c | 2,342$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.37 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 2,286$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.13 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 2,249$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed New York Mets | 62c | 2,243$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.73 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked New York Mets | 19c | 2,107$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.92 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Mets | 70c | 2,043$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.53 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.96 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,742$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.97 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 1,526$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.13 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 63c | 1,491$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.25 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 25c | 1,331$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.43 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,307$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.82 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.99 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,153$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.75 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,011$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.6 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Mets | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…d492backed New York Mets | 63c | 977.8$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 962.8$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.94 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed New York Mets | 64c | 944.22$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.16 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 80c | 900$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked New York Mets | 61c | 854.88$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.48 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 64c | 830.85$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.32 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 798.34$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.51 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.27 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…3d9dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 755.54$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 745.33$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…c9b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 715.54$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 694.41$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked New York Mets | 77c | 644.07$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.23 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 76c | 619.81$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.39 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 612.34$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.65 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed New York Mets | 67c | 605.59$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 583.02$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.65 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 545$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 524.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.21 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 490.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 479.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.24 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 478.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed New York Mets | 78c | 475.32$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked New York Mets | 6c | 471.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 470.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.42 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed New York Mets | 63c | 465.62$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 454.39$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked New York Mets | 67c | 434.85$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.32 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed New York Mets | 41c | 410.1$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 409.93$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed New York Mets | 62c | 395.35$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.27 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Mets | 60c | 390.4$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 389.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.76 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 387.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.44 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 380.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.63 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 365.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.29 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York MetsYes Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.