TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, New York Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$405,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,472 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Arizona Diamondbacks33c52,186$17,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,734.441,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Arizona Diamondbacks37c46,037$17,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,909.0621040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks38c29,000$11,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,979.987755.8%43 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed New York Mets62c27,465$17,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,028.4255053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Mets61c21,835$13,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,400.8138148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed New York Mets63c18,625$11,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,733.636047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets68c18,246$12,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,333.061,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed New York Mets63c15,556$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,800.35650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed New York Mets60c15,246$9,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,095.3113349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks39c15,133$5,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,189.371,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks40c13,043$5,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,825.751,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets1c10,537$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.041,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked New York Mets61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.9755053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Mets62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,199.9512754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets74c9,938$7,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,376.3310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed New York Mets65c7,370$4,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.294940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb9…01bfbacked New York Mets63c7,262$4,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,574.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Mets69c6,717$4,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,640.631039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks23c6,670$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,157.8818056.1%101 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked New York Mets69c6,056$4,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,208.811,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Arizona Diamondbacks37c5,213$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.4816947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked New York Mets60c4,735$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.3365050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks30c4,724$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.7921656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks68c4,357$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.462,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked New York Mets73c4,296$3,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,136.243630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.9wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets46c4,186$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.238,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Arizona Diamondbacks37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52020350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c3,762$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.872860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed New York Mets60c3,253$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95237953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks27c3,193$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.251,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed New York Mets60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Mets60c2,833$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.741,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks41c2,823$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.719250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Arizona Diamondbacks69c2,655$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.61875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed New York Mets62c2,584$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.841,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c2,554$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.5313254.5%72 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets76c2,517$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.921,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc510…629abacked Arizona Diamondbacks42c2,406$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.255754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets67c2,400$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.3712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked New York Mets67c2,342$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.3734452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks65c2,286$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.139,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c2,249$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.536,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed New York Mets62c2,243$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.7315753.5%84 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked New York Mets19c2,107$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.924438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed New York Mets70c2,043$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.531,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Arizona Diamondbacks39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.9627451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Arizona Diamondbacks40c1,742$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.975743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Arizona Diamondbacks78c1,526$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.132491.7%22 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick72cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets63c1,491$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.251,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets25c1,331$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.431,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets58c1,307$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.821,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Arizona Diamondbacks41c1,300$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.994955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Arizona Diamondbacks40c1,205$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72332742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Arizona Diamondbacks38c1,153$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.752934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks40c1,011$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.610842.6%46 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Mets2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8824…d492backed New York Mets63c977.8$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-49.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks38c962.8$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.945435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed New York Mets64c944.22$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.1639351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks80c900$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18070735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked New York Mets61c854.88$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.4812655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets64c830.85$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.326,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c798.34$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.511,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c760.11$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.2730844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3761…3d9dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks78c755.54$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.321566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks24c745.33$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.824047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb75…c9b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c715.54$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.631850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Arizona Diamondbacks33c694.41$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.223342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked New York Mets77c644.07$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.2341847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c633.42$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.721668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets76c619.81$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.392,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks38c612.34$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6546749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed New York Mets67c605.59$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.742552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks26c583.02$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.651,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks40c545$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.71,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Arizona Diamondbacks39c524.06$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2116453%87 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks38c506.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.188845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks39c494.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3738455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Arizona Diamondbacks39c490.22$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3872648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks40c482$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.285952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks26c479.56$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.241,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Arizona Diamondbacks27c478.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0126857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x391b…a066backed New York Mets78c475.32$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.34850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked New York Mets6c471.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.317128.2%20 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks27c470.01$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.427247.2%34 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a5f…dc31backed New York Mets63c465.62$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.343151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks44c454.39$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.15,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked New York Mets67c434.85$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.714358%83 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks23c414.7$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.328366.3%55 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed New York Mets41c410.1$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8951555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks40c409.93$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9635446%163 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed New York Mets62c395.35$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2718048.3%87 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Mets60c390.4$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2441152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks38c389.93$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7650751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks38c387.81$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4419842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks38c380.05$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6317151.5%88 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Arizona Diamondbacks26c365.26$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2936440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.