MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0eb0032f5eccc724ce526637afc14a5d866f7443a81d08a3da2e76c01f790fc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 41c | 135,518$55,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,054.33 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 59c | 75,000$44,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,250 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 60c | 49,280$29,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,368 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 40c | 42,677$17,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,606.19 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 57c | 13,061$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,470.46 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 11,273$5,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 10,450$6,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,377.11 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Under | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 58c | 4,460$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.95 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 59c | 4,085$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.95 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 45c | 3,575$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 61c | 2,851$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.56 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 59c | 2,822$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.49 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 2,688$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.52 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 59c | 2,336$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.01 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 45c | 2,217$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.19 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 60c | 1,981$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.77 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 55c | 1,776$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.87 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 1,754$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.4 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 77c | 1,022$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Under | 55c | 1,010$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Over | 44c | 1,005$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.84 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Under | 55c | 1,003$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.65 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 68c | 844.79$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Over | 77c | 775.9$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 45c | 769.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 750.22$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.04 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 40c | 558.16$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.48 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 40c | 550.6$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 543.56$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.7 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…61e8backed Under | 55c | 519.79$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 67c | 483.51$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.29 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 59c | 478.57$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.36 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 44c | 434.52$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.33 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 65c | 383.23$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.44 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 45c | 325.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 62c | 321.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 76c | 314.41$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.95 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 80c | 308.75$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 58c | 305.29$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.83 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 63c | 293.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.67 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 60c | 246.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed Under | 73c | 196.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Under | 55c | 190.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 65c | 181.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 39c | 178.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 34c | 142.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 142.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 68c | 141.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 41c | 141.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 34c | 135.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 34c | 135.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 34c | 135.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 67c | 135.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Under | 54c | 129.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 77c | 128.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 41c | 128.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 68c | 116.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 112.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 66c | 111.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 58c | 111.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 40c | 108.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 55c | 106.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 16c | 98.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 54c | 97.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 90.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 36c | 90.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…46eabacked Under | 55c | 84.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 54c | 81.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 74.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 60c | 74.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 54c | 73.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 46c | 67.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Under | 59c | 67.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Over | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 35c | 63.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Over | 35c | 62.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 35c | 62.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 41c | 62.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Over | 36c | 60.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 36c | 60.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 46c | 57.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 66c | 55.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0867backed Under | 56c | 50.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 28c | 46.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…3affbacked Over | 46c | 45.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York MetsArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York MetsYes Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.