MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb143488ebc4248bfc99ff38ae17ee9c363bc634422aeb49ec06ebaa43465360c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof New York Mets, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Mets | 63c | 7,901$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.7 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 52c | 7,586$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.92 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked New York Mets | 44c | 6,475$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.08 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 5,411$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.57 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 4,496$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,987$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.04 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,440$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 42c | 2,051$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,085$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,008$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 972.19$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.47 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 728.7$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.12 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 624.92$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.22 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 565.77$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.96 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 500$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 435.52$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.44 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked New York Mets | 43c | 313.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 303.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.76 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 262.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.56 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 254.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.79 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked New York Mets | 11c | 248$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked New York Mets | 43c | 237.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 231.45$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked New York Mets | 42c | 193.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 191.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 184.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 182.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 146.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 42c | 143.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 141.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed New York Mets | 42c | 120.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 102.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 41c | 100.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 99.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed New York Mets | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 93.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked New York Mets | 30c | 88.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked New York Mets | 30c | 88.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed New York Mets | 31c | 86.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed New York Mets | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 68.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked New York Mets | 43c | 60.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Mets | 41c | 59.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed New York Mets | 43c | 57.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed New York Mets | 43c | 56.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 54.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…4f66backed New York Mets | 43c | 53.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 52.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 52.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 52.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked New York Mets | 37c | 49.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed New York Mets | 30c | 49.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked New York Mets | 30c | 49.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked New York Mets | 30c | 49.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Mets | 30c | 49.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed New York Mets | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 46.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 45.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed New York Mets | 23c | 45.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked New York Mets | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 43.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked New York Mets | 52c | 43.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 42.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Mets | 30c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed New York Mets | 30c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked New York Mets | 30c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed New York Mets | 30c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed New York Mets | 30c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed New York Mets | 30c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked New York Mets | 30c | 39.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 38.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 38.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 38.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 34.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 32.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked New York Mets | 43c | 31.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 29.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed New York Mets | 42c | 23.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York MetsArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 3.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York MetsYes Run won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.