Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02e84927f4b17673917f148da5a1dd758e34f0467b635adc9509153e727b2142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 44c | 393.19$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 14c | 352.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 23c | 306.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 56c | 274.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 57c | 267.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 52c | 251.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 42c | 213.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 58c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 185.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 47c | 174.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9933…db7dbacked Yes | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 172.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 70c | 168.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 47c | 163.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 30c | 160.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 22c | 153.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 39c | 151.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 8c | 149.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 37c | 136.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 134$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 32c | 116.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 30c | 116.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 114.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 32c | 113.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…b1dbbacked Yes | 30c | 104$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 68c | 103.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…7a38backed Yes | 35c | 101.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 66c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 30c | 99.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 72c | 97.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…86c6backed Yes | 52c | 96.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 94.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 93.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed Yes | 29c | 93.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…5aaabacked Yes | 21c | 90.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed Yes | 30c | 87.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked No | 43c | 86.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 35c | 86.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 35c | 85.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 23c | 79.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 21c | 77.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 49c | 76.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 32c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 21c | 75.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 33c | 73.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 41c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 71.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 31c | 69.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 44c | 69.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 74c | 68.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…bf47backed No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 65c | 67.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…c2a5backed Yes | 25c | 67.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 66.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 31c | 61.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 33c | 60.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 72c | 55.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 28c | 55.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 49c | 55.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 32c | 54.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 58c | 53.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73e0backed Yes | 30c | 52.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…254cbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…c680backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 41c | 48.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 37c | 48.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f0…8943backed Yes | 24c | 48.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 53c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 44.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc031…0379backed No | 64c | 42.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 32c | 40.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…634dbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…5904backed No | 66c | 39.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 26c | 39.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 33c | 38.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…2895backed No | 54c | 38.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 78c | 38.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…625fbacked No | 75c | 38.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 58c | 37.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 29c | 36.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 29c | 36.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…cbddbacked No | 67c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 60c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…f336backed No | 68c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 40c | 32.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…c0cebacked Yes | 31c | 31.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 32c | 31.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 69c | 31.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.