Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7a8c132308c60cc6e5e98844b4005b85e5095ea8623529f95cba6abaab0e40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72ed…13bcbacked No | 1c | 2,348$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 1c | 2,193$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 13c | 1,879$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 67c | 1,594$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd40f…8244backed No | 17c | 1,487$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 2c | 1,001$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 34c | 705.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.06 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 40c | 698.21$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.84 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 67c | 590.71$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…6c18backed No | 37c | 487.43$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 32c | 400$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 49c | 361.36$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.52 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 10c | 356.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.04 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +12.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 340.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 12c | 327.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 27c | 289.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 21c | 288.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 30c | 275.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…af71backed No | 22c | 271.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed No | 5c | 267.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 33c | 265.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 69c | 263.7$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 29c | 237.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.52 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 35c | 235.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd5…33cfbacked No | 8c | 224.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 70c | 210.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 44c | 208.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 208$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 44c | 201.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 195$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 45c | 191.32$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb6…85afbacked No | 70c | 189.78$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…54c9backed No | 60c | 182.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 35c | 177.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 19c | 176.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 20c | 167.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…c915backed No | 17c | 165.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 50c | 160.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…1d0cbacked Yes | 28c | 153.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8834backed No | 58c | 153.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9933…db7dbacked Yes | 31c | 147.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 144.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 74c | 142.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…e0b6backed Yes | 43c | 138.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 202 | 30.2%61 W · 141 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 73c | 135.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 37c | 133.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 31c | 131$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 116.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 35c | 115.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 31c | 111.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 11c | 107.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 29c | 106.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…b1dbbacked Yes | 32c | 104$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 29c | 96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 61c | 89.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 35c | 85.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 67c | 83.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 50c | 82.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 38c | 78.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 28c | 78.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 17c | 77.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…a8a2backed No | 26c | 76.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 32c | 76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…6b67backed No | 45c | 74.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 55c | 71.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 30c | 70.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 28c | 69.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 64c | 69.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 26c | 68.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…bf47backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked No | 68c | 64.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 19c | 63.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 42c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 22c | 61.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…a95abacked No | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…f522backed Yes | 80c | 60.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…e3e6backed Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 33c | 59.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 35c | 56.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 52c | 55.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 55.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 66c | 55.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 33c | 55.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 35c | 54.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…c9d1backed Yes | 27c | 54.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed Yes | 30c | 54.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 27c | 54.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 54.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 65c | 52.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 71c | 52.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73e0backed Yes | 58c | 51.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 43c | 51.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.