Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf305edbbf7decc61531edc71a68d0483b5be152f840a52b719ee96efcf6255e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Tundra Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 6,335$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.22 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 5,958$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.62 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 3,511$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.7 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,856$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.51 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,763$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.25 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 2,025$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.87 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.96 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,884$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.48 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…9b41backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,818$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…9e0fbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 1,629$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,622$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.39 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,535$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.81 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…a21ebacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,500$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,342$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.5 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,305$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.38 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,262$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.14 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,090$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tundra Esports | 12c | 1,057$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,034$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.34 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,001$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.55 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Tundra Esports | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 869.62$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 806.95$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccd9…f849backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 800$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 777.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 744.52$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.05 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 700$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 660.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.48 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 626.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 606.82$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.7 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…bcd0backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 590$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 563.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.29 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 522.01$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 509.82$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.07 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…b8f7backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 495.64$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 465.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 455.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 383$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 371.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.02 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 346.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.22 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 309.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.48 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 308.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.59 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd4…897ebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…a9d1backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 299.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 299.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.9 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 289.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…745fbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 253.42$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 251.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 238$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 200.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 177.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 177.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 176.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tundra Esports | 30c | 171$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 166$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 149.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 145$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 143.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 143$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 140.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 138.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 135.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 130.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 127.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 125$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 120.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 119$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ad…5a4ebacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…3da2backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ec…8044backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…7241backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 97.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 97.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…5e83backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 89.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 85.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Tundra Esports | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…bb2fbacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 79.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 78.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 76.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Tundra Esports | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 69.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…20c5backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 67.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.