TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf24…7d4abacked MOUZ54c28,188$15,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,062.565149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Heroic50c16,177$8,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,056.3817444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked MOUZ50c15,455$7,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,734.079245.7%42 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Heroic51c12,542$6,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,380.5755157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ54c11,999$6,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,557.11,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x543d…f367backed Heroic0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ43c10,459$4,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,925.0315047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked MOUZ49c7,303$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,741.857562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Heroic50c6,488$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,213.553451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ48c5,998$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.681,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Heroic46c5,650$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,59916050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ53c5,401$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.9618452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked MOUZ55c4,582$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6318053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic49c4,070$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.357455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Heroic47c3,523$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.3564744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed MOUZ66c3,493$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.634456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic47c3,287$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.11,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Heroic71c2,887$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.3934468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ54c2,227$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.2633850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed Heroic49c2,035$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.993360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e88…0e1fbacked Heroic78c1,946$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Heroic48c1,803$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Heroic51c1,741$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.8817546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed MOUZ54c1,600$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.983354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cf…0cc7backed Heroic47c1,542$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic45c1,362$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.932,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Heroic48c1,321$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.1218550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic45c1,286$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.931,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Heroic45c1,250$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.546535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic49c1,150$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.5156848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed MOUZ49c1,122$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.655646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked MOUZ38c1,092$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.21942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7f…6d97backed Heroic5c1,078$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ49c1,046$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.6666662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ70c999$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29959250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ54c922.59$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.7945046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff69…dbd2backed Heroic56c897.39$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.191080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+63.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Heroic47c850$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.53050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked MOUZ71c838.19$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-79.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda1e…f6a4backed Heroic49c810.88$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed MOUZ54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3688648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d97…f2bebacked MOUZ51c799.97$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.984854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ18c789$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.0279341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Heroic49c783.33$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7458744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff91…7a9abacked MOUZ53c762.91$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Heroic42c750.58$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.495942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Heroic56c712.12$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30180443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Heroic52c673.63$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.626957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic58c660.94$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.361,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ51c652$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.441,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Heroic43c620$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3117740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Heroic54c616.34$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.811052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ49c607.17$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed MOUZ53c600$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2845843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Heroic50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Heroic57c600$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Heroic44c595.92$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.212843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic80c566.12$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.0577458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ54c550.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.947944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Heroic45c525.76$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.594146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ40c521.62$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.5441655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Heroic48c514$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7251140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Heroic50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0735…4d2cbacked MOUZ7c500$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+246.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed MOUZ50c482$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2417147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed MOUZ32c465.82$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1113827.5%38 W · 100 L-15.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Heroic78c458$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.2434443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Heroic49c457.27$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.188544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Heroic57c452.71$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.071560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22047660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3f…d0a9backed MOUZ33c446.77$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275f…39d9backed Heroic11c431.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.193423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x07f8…cfaabacked Heroic52c423.47$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked MOUZ50c400$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20169835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0225…6e17backed Heroic51c390.68$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.532045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Heroic48c384.93$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3136851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1b3…2a0bbacked Heroic48c384.73$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…583abacked Heroic48c380.49$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed MOUZ55c373.78$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.76875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Heroic54c372.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009548.4%46 W · 49 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked MOUZ54c371.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed MOUZ53c357.24$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.569254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed MOUZ44c350$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962313%3 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Heroic72c327.56$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.842259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62c…d9a6backed MOUZ51c323.54$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.512744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Heroic52c320$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.830041.3%124 W · 176 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed MOUZ5c319.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.36450%2 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+712.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb88…b1d7backed MOUZ6c311.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.63228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Heroic48c306.25$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1479959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fad…eee9backed Heroic52c299.45$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.522433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…951cbacked Heroic63c293.98$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.74973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked MOUZ22c291.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed MOUZ68c281.21$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.41030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x359e…9376backed Heroic49c274.08$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Heroic49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3653757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Heroic49c249.12$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3918143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Heroic61c247.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.334351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed MOUZ47c244.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8954753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08e4…3c39backed MOUZ13c237.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+137.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.