TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c26,193$3,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,203.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+124.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3b…ab63backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508619.8%17 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes13c2,192$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240639.5%6 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes13c1,956$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9363035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200719.9%7 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes12c1,417$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes12c1,355$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.651,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes13c1,186$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb56b…9358backed Yes13c1,077$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes8c919.09$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.21,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes13c901.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.171428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…bf33backed Yes12c827.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005827.6%16 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes6c774.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011226.8%30 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007115.5%11 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes13c749.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ca…c89cbacked Yes12c598.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.82205%1 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-78.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cf6…473fbacked Yes13c521.69$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a5b…a840backed Yes12c513.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.633925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes10c449.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9136939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505315.1%8 W · 45 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes11c388.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.721,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes12c375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518037.2%67 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018027.2%49 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes12c320.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.617416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes12c308.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3763229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab2…94b9backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011230.4%34 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x946b…7277backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366518.5%12 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3645820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Yes13c253.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…ce41backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bd…4c05backed Yes14c242.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.933417.6%6 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305632.1%18 W · 38 L-9.8wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017820.8%37 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512828.9%37 W · 91 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+113.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes11c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5753…fa31backed Yes13c192.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.012015%3 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes12c170.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.451,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c6…cb34backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes12c160.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024937.3%93 W · 156 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes13c156.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4322824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf273…efe8backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205322.6%12 W · 41 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d94…cee1backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188236.6%30 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x488d…845dbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157015.7%11 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35c7…6021backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518625.3%47 W · 139 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd23b…6efabacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157821.8%17 W · 61 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes14c119.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7911218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154411.4%5 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes13c114.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8625031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b31…1a7ebacked Yes12c104.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac0…6d2abacked Yes12c103.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes13c102.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.310311.7%12 W · 91 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x475b…caf2backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133016.7%5 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-60.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1557…3e6cbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066d…8e11backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257f…9c3abacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac3…1347backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314223.9%34 W · 108 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211826.3%31 W · 87 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Yes11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes13c99.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed Yes12c90.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.822718.5%5 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.