Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7680ff9354c9ff4dae1fe830a83ccd9c8be0f0b6e67791a5f31f7d95a342ddbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 26,193$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.2 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…ab63backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 13c | 2,192$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,956$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,417$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,355$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.65 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 13c | 1,186$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.14 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…9358backed Yes | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 8c | 919.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…43afbacked Yes | 13c | 901.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 12c | 827.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 6c | 774.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes | 13c | 749.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…c89cbacked Yes | 12c | 598.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf6…473fbacked Yes | 13c | 521.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…a840backed Yes | 12c | 513.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 10c | 449.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 11c | 388.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…af2cbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 27.2%49 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 12c | 320.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 12c | 308.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…94b9backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…7277backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…ce41backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…4c05backed Yes | 14c | 242.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…cdc1backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 28.9%37 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed Yes | 13c | 192.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 12c | 170.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…cb34backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes | 12c | 160.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 13c | 156.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf273…efe8backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d94…cee1backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…6021backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 25.3%47 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…6efabacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 14c | 119.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 13c | 114.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…1a7ebacked Yes | 12c | 104.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…6d2abacked Yes | 12c | 103.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 13c | 102.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…caf2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…3e6cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…8e11backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…9c3abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 142 | 23.9%34 W · 108 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 99.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Yes | 12c | 90.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 2 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 3 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?Yes won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 3 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 0 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.