Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567802f58c8f80a09f39de3e30eb5543e8da6f522489f22c82471be5cdac6c77

Rebuilt 2 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $103,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,663 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	10c	37,702$3,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,616.52	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	18c	2,408$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.91	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes	6c	2,220$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	9c	1,714$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Yes	5c	1,140$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	98	25.5%25 W · 73 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	6c	1,033$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.07	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	2.4%2 W · 80 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked No	71c	1,000$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.67	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	223	24.2%54 W · 169 L	-13.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf74c…434cbacked Yes	31c	794.65$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.34	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes	25c	762.75$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.69	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed No	67c	746.27$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.27	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes	33c	721.16$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.57	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	246	16.3%40 W · 206 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Yes	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadba…a35dbacked Yes	6c	650$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	7cpaid	+179.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	4c	635.36$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80fa…bf19backed Yes	16c	568.82$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes	21c	539.35$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.45	508	33.3%169 W · 339 L	-35.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	16c	490.42$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.24	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes	9c	416.43$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	41	22%9 W · 32 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes	5c	386.32$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	91	18.7%17 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes	30c	327.63$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.74	236	37.7%89 W · 147 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	11c	302.7$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked No	70c	285.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.71	117	49.6%58 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	308	18.5%57 W · 251 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c0…1002backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	458	20.3%93 W · 365 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes	5c	250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	103	14.6%15 W · 88 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	249	37.3%93 W · 156 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d9…496abacked Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	19.7%15 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc212…18b9backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	6c	188.96$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes	31c	182.94$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.71	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	114	22.8%26 W · 88 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8077…73abbacked Yes	10c	164.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20da…3f28backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc575…8821backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x314f…7348backed Yes	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	250	18.4%46 W · 204 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aaf…fa1abacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…5c13backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d5…be1cbacked Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeac…4170backed Yes	14c	125.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	19c	120.62$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.74	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	209	11%23 W · 186 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes	14c	105.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…948bbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d6…90aabacked Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	170	38.2%65 W · 105 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	232	27.6%64 W · 168 L	-12.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	75c	98.99$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.84	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9445…b342backed Yes	35c	85.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f71…13a5backed No	69c	82.96$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.72	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	19c	73.68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes	15c	71.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	228	24.6%56 W · 172 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	22c	60.25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes	32c	51.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4f5…426ebacked Yes	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…8218backed Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 2 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?Yes won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 3 New Zealand?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event