TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c17,491$2,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9622229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No80c5,461$4,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.8436939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3a…5f61backed No77c5,173$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.831560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes13c3,767$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.672,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes12c3,482$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.8217416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes15c2,857$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Yes25c1,967$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x557a…3d56backed Yes13c1,923$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250756.7%5 W · 70 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed No77c1,845$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.2620186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes16c1,824$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.1339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes14c1,802$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.2178317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No77c1,692$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.12,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No77c1,667$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.511,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed No72c1,380$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4418343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes13c1,308$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes20c1,298$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.5810929.4%32 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Yes31c1,273$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes16c1,177$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.858642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes14c1,106$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8463035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf74c…434cbacked Yes28c877.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0394…d325backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf8…59cfbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100719.9%7 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes14c733$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6211723.1%27 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No79c730$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.981,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes23c713.59$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5633843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes13c711.69$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5211218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes6c500.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6739932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No78c477.85$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.41,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes27c428.11$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3823637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb04…7abfbacked Yes23c398.69$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.054632.6%15 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f79…9290backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010541.9%44 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011422.8%26 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes13c356$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.282,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No79c348.39$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.41,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2193…e6cabacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509929.3%29 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…ce41backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…0ad3backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80fa…bf19backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes6c299.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes22c294.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7450833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8490…ac46backed Yes10c286.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Yes19c252.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811245.5%51 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.545820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes12c249.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes5c243.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes14c234$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.761,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9132…b6e5backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024937.3%93 W · 156 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018637.6%70 W · 116 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc158…9d65backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011012.7%14 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58de…9169backed Yes28c219.74$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes13c215.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2863229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No72c210.1$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9417568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4209…b161backed Yes12c208.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256711.9%8 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No77c201.29$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.322643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf47d…da66backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288626.7%23 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed Yes13c199.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes15c193.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294122%9 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e6…c62bbacked Yes14c190.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279027.8%25 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes15c183.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4813718.2%25 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb56…2bc6backed Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f1…da32backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034524.1%83 W · 262 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf585…11c0backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202619.2%5 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-66.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205315.1%8 W · 45 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc97…6ea7backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205414.8%8 W · 46 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d94…cee1backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed No78c149.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes13c144$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.041,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203026.7%8 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes14c139.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.232,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4606…7f19backed No76c131.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511823.7%28 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f06…ab00backed No76c128.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.953666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…fbb5backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510144.6%45 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3fa…caa4backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes26c114.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8140343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc575…8821backed Yes19c105.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes13c104.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.042,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2647935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes15c102.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3915536.8%57 W · 98 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137345.2%33 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2360752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019428.9%56 W · 138 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f7…f073backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513638.2%52 W · 84 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaec…9c01backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14319.7%3 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…cf77backed Yes20c98.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d8…2c34backed Yes15c93.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412930.2%39 W · 90 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes13c90.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.711,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadd4…06a2backed Yes13c90$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.