Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19ae574aa549ecc707348fdd08865fca21b2750cb7863a137289b78307f302ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 17,491$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.96 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 80c | 5,461$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.84 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…5f61backed No | 77c | 5,173$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,767$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.67 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,482$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.82 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 15c | 2,857$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eef…850fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,967$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 13c | 1,923$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 77c | 1,845$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.26 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 16c | 1,824$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.13 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 14c | 1,802$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.21 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 77c | 1,692$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.1 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 1,667$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.51 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e4…07b1backed No | 72c | 1,380$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.44 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,308$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 20c | 1,298$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 31c | 1,273$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 16c | 1,177$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,106$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74c…434cbacked Yes | 28c | 877.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…d325backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…59cfbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 14c | 733$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.62 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 79c | 730$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 23c | 713.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 13c | 711.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 6c | 500.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 78c | 477.85$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 27c | 428.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…24a3backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…7abfbacked Yes | 23c | 398.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f79…9290backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 13c | 356$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 79c | 348.39$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2193…e6cabacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…ce41backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0ad3backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fa…bf19backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 6c | 299.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 22c | 294.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Yes | 10c | 286.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Yes | 19c | 252.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 5c | 243.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 14c | 234$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…b6e5backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…00f8backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…9d65backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 12.7%14 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…9169backed Yes | 28c | 219.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 13c | 215.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 72c | 210.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 175 | 68.6%120 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 12c | 208.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 77c | 201.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…da66backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e6…c62bbacked Yes | 14c | 190.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 15c | 183.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb56…2bc6backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…11c0backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…6ea7backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d94…cee1backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…0730backed No | 78c | 149.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 13c | 144$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 139.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 76c | 131.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f06…ab00backed No | 76c | 128.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…fbb5backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fa…caa4backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 26c | 114.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…8821backed Yes | 19c | 105.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 104.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 15c | 102.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…f073backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…9c01backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…cf77backed Yes | 20c | 98.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…2c34backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 13c | 90.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…06a2backed Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 2 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 3 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?Yes won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 3 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 0 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.