Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc42d48828240ea12c3356d4a25de89a813f6588d4d2c5dc888974a7baa363693

Rebuilt 35 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $134,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $151,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,445 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	12c	18,271$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,132.38	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	7c	12,562$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.6	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes	2c	5,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes	6c	4,829$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.28	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No	79c	4,287$3,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.75	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20bc…a3a7backed Yes	28c	4,247$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d90…7e0abacked Yes	2c	2,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-4.3wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	2c	2,155$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61f…a873backed Yes	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-60%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	288	8%23 W · 265 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes	25c	1,977$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.81	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x946b…7277backed Yes	2c	1,250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	2c	1,250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes	3c	1,247$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.18	228	24.6%56 W · 172 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	2c	1,216$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.32	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes	10c	1,173$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	81	19.8%16 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	78c	1,111$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.83	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	4c	999.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc148…72e0backed Yes	2c	858.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	72c	757.4$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.64	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2584…8018backed Yes	25c	711.77$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.67	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Yes	2c	700$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	92	37%34 W · 58 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	20c	671.3$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.24	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc438…3ae6backed No	80c	590.35$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.66	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes	2c	583.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	152	28.3%43 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2d…c9abbacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No	76c	470$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.8	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes	4c	465.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.77	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes	5c	408.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	224	21.9%49 W · 175 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ff…383dbacked Yes	25c	396.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	19.6%44 W · 180 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	10c	382.19$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.84	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	9c	368.57$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No	79c	368.1$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.42	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes	12c	281.73$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.06	131	58.8%77 W · 54 L	+26.4wins	+0.20per pick	39cpaid	+82.8%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes	15c	267.65$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.46	229	31%71 W · 158 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes	26c	266.68$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.34	457	40.3%184 W · 273 L	-28.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf831…dfa6backed Yes	9c	254.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x742f…ce41backed Yes	24c	234.17$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.63	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes	9c	220$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	+7.1wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4a2…09ddbacked Yes	5c	195.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes	21c	164.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.83	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	+8.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes	25c	158.1$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	249	37.3%93 W · 156 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes	10c	150.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+34.7wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+61%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	14c	137.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes	26c	135.14$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	281	27.8%78 W · 203 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Yes	12c	132.41$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.15	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+20.4wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe45b…367ebacked Yes	19c	129.52$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.48	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	25c	116.42$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No	76c	115$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.21	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Yes	26c	113.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	124	33.9%42 W · 82 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c7…1ad3backed Yes	25c	105.36$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.55	70	40%28 W · 42 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3a3…d117backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ee…a7f2backed Yes	20c	97.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.25per pick	35cpaid	-84.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x529c…210ebacked Yes	26c	96.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No	77c	83.68$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.31	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d1d…9e61backed No	77c	80$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.33	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	68cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6290…d7c1backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e0…c5aabacked Yes	37c	68.05$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe993…90ebbacked Yes	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	25c	55.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x530f…424ebacked Yes	25c	46.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	64c	40.02$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.35	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9791…a14abacked No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-32%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e68…ff8abacked No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.78	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.9wins	-0.28per pick	56cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 2 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?Yes won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 3 New Zealand?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event