TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c39,981$4,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,652.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes11c5,200$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57238817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Yes24c4,632$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.0610146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20bc…a3a7backed Yes23c4,319$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes10c4,004$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4311218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes10c2,500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250639.5%6 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No79c2,168$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.111,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200719.9%7 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.983,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes10c1,700$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a29…5f03backed Yes11c1,394$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes10c1,140$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.573935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes10c1,091$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.971,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011226.8%30 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Yes10c973.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009317.2%16 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4499…943bbacked Yes10c948$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.86238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes11c947.75$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.122,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a5b…a840backed Yes10c827.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.763925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c788.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.721,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes8c708.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5422824.6%56 W · 172 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b2…ffa5backed Yes25c625.77$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes24c585.18$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3198134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x946b…7277backed Yes10c570$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576518.5%12 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022643.4%98 W · 128 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022324.2%54 W · 169 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505315.1%8 W · 45 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b63…ee39backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x867f…9ae3backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55cb…275abacked Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401038.7%9 W · 94 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023142.4%98 W · 133 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a5b…1439backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507719.5%15 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x385d…fdeebacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030818.5%57 W · 251 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No78c352.3$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9250833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3545820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes13c340$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4563229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…ce41backed Yes23c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c3…bbb2backed Yes12c302.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.941050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No75c291.25$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9417568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c6…cb34backed Yes14c286.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3848…9db2backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309933.3%33 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f1…da32backed Yes23c260.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes12c239.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810314.6%15 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes23c232$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2922931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99cc…9883backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…0ad3backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b82…2291backed Yes21c222.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.765145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214818.9%28 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick19cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016152.2%84 W · 77 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes10c191$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111723.1%27 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes13c180.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.524,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Yes24c167.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012828.9%37 W · 91 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3547935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes11c150.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.553710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c7…6021backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518625.3%47 W · 139 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe147…3fa3backed Yes10c149.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+87.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa855…3a4ebacked Yes14c145.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Yes10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149237%34 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x852f…b882backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Yes20c135$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…496abacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb84…1e5bbacked Yes10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+138.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes22c129.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8363544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes8c122.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.162,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Yes15c114.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-76.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511422.8%26 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes14c105.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011826.3%31 W · 87 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadd4…06a2backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015228.3%43 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f83…8568backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10407.5%3 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-61.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9583…fa5dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014148.2%68 W · 73 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ea…8be1backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+92.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabe…006abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ff…383dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102030%6 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066d…8e11backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257f…9c3abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff53…5dd3backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106851.5%35 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2957…ba4cbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018036.1%65 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024937.3%93 W · 156 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…fbb5backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010144.6%45 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd92e…b1b3backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0341…0068backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d94…cee1backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Yes21c96.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015648.1%75 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeac…4170backed Yes21c87.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.855736.8%21 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.