Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1857a9958f9a1548582015dfc9c37a639dd2b39da94e9e24205e10c4d43a68cb

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $90,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,866 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes	17c	20,000$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	17c	15,247$2,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,562.96	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	16c	3,950$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.95	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	17c	1,822$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.71	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes	12c	1,536$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.1	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes	16c	1,200$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.99	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Yes	17c	1,029$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7a9…de51backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.49per pick	18cpaid	+200.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes	17c	941.18$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes	17c	882.35$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	224	21.9%49 W · 175 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd61f…a873backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-60%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5161…bf33backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-50%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Yes	15c	564.74$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.71	282	57.1%161 W · 121 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa96c…182bbacked Yes	17c	561.82$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.51	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c06…b98abacked Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b63…62eebacked Yes	17c	549.94$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.49	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked Yes	17c	499.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes	17c	470.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Yes	17c	470.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4930…0badbacked Yes	6c	433$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f79…9290backed Yes	17c	411.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	105	41.9%44 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ca…c89cbacked Yes	17c	411.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	19cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes	17c	388.24$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf277…cb2dbacked Yes	17c	352.94$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes	16c	316.17$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.59	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc158…9d65backed Yes	17c	308.82$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	110	12.7%14 W · 96 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Yes	19c	303$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.57	373	50.1%187 W · 186 L	+45.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+28%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	231	42.4%98 W · 133 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	311	32.2%100 W · 211 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80fa…bf19backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-29%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	180	27.2%49 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Yes	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf47d…da66backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	86	26.7%23 W · 63 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410e…39efbacked Yes	17c	189.46$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.21	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	510	45.3%231 W · 279 L	+21.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…0ad3backed Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd28…449dbacked Yes	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes	17c	169$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.73	180	37.2%67 W · 113 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes	17c	150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	458	20.3%93 W · 365 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	667	45%300 W · 367 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69a…d493backed Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	118	23.7%28 W · 90 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	17c	130$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca48…b9fbbacked Yes	17c	123.65$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.08	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf585…11c0backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-5.9wins	-0.23per pick	42cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf273…efe8backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc61…bc17backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	111	52.3%58 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	249	37.3%93 W · 156 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d94…cee1backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes	17c	105.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes	17c	102.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	155	36.8%57 W · 98 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac3…1347backed Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	142	23.9%34 W · 108 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Yes	17c	99.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.99	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684f…cef7backed Yes	17c	99.24$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.87	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d8…2c34backed Yes	17c	94.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	129	30.2%39 W · 90 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Yes	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	180	36.1%65 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadd4…06a2backed Yes	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b31…1a7ebacked Yes	17c	73.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes	17c	72.02$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6766…8ddfbacked Yes	16c	63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f01…548cbacked Yes	17c	62.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 2 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?Yes won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 3 New Zealand?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event