Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd21938d7afb0c29734d21733e06b134f22030a8d2e76f99076d15c2863953412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 6,418$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…826fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,987$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 3,977$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 2,044$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 9c | 1,970$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.23 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…3f28backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 10c | 999.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 10c | 528.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 12c | 528.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…08ebbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…e04abacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…cb2dbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2193…e6cabacked Yes | 11c | 436.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…9d65backed Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 110 | 12.7%14 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 10c | 324.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…449dbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2024…cf1bbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…4898backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…e4d1backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…9e68backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…b5cdbacked Yes | 12c | 155.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…1fd9backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…c9abbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…8f7ebacked Yes | 11c | 132.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 10c | 127.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 9c | 124.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca48…b9fbbacked Yes | 11c | 100.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 2 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 3 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?Yes won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 3 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 0 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 1 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?No won
- Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.