Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 1 New Zealand?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4795f4041f3aa482e6903006283781397d0d69a52ed3ca58e6acb02e22850be2

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,068 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	7c	32,215$2,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,288.95	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Yes	6c	12,142$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes	11c	3,739$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	5c	2,096$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.88	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa96c…182bbacked Yes	5c	1,881$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Yes	6c	1,795$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes	6c	1,783$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	9.9%7 W · 64 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	5c	1,592$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.75	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Yes	10c	1,031$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes	10c	1,005$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	5c	999.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes	6c	909.09$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	862.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes	2c	766.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	228	24.6%56 W · 172 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes	5c	750$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea96…693abacked Yes	7c	722.81$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.17	149	40.3%60 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes	10c	580$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	81	19.8%16 W · 65 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae4…714cbacked Yes	5c	529$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.04	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes	5c	510$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x946b…7277backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Yes	6c	443.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes	5c	395.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.77	248	25.8%64 W · 184 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes	5c	392.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Yes	6c	300$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	75	21.3%16 W · 59 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	6c	298.65$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes	7c	291.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.34	229	31%71 W · 158 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dbb…fc9cbacked Yes	6c	263.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488d…845dbacked Yes	6c	254.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	15.7%11 W · 59 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a27…cc88backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+3.4wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	6c	235.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	6c	202.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes	10c	202.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	286	26.9%77 W · 209 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x490a…3b39backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd92e…b1b3backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.16per pick	23cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes	6c	191.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	148	18.9%28 W · 120 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes	11c	188.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Yes	11c	179.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	152	27%41 W · 111 L	-9.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes	6c	172.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	172	23.3%40 W · 132 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4d…5b1dbacked Yes	10c	153.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	81	16%13 W · 68 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a2…09ddbacked Yes	10c	121$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda89…0ed5backed Yes	10c	106.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb83…ea2ebacked Yes	10c	101.01$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf67…6842backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	106	28.3%30 W · 76 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc07…a237backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 1 New Zealand?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 2 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?Yes won
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 3 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 0 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?No won
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 3 New Zealand?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 1 New Zealand?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event