NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d1bbeb8fddfe428ac0aa75438b9a3d7e07caf8e7f12adda5968054ddf4b3da3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Sabres, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $597,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Capitals | 49c | 286,495$141,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,159.79 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 51c | 160,435$81,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,821.9 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sabres | 50c | 64,573$32,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,286.67 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Sabres | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Capitals | 49c | 13,996$6,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,137.77 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 52c | 9,341$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Capitals | 49c | 8,600$4,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Capitals | 48c | 6,001$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Sabres | 26c | 5,943$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.06 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Sabres | 10c | 5,880$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 50c | 5,409$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.74 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 20c | 5,137$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.15 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sabres | 52c | 5,039$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.83 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Sabres | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Sabres | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 78c | 4,618$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 53c | 4,058$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.76 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Capitals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Sabres | 26c | 3,917$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.81 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 49c | 3,559$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.3 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Sabres | 0c | 3,493$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Capitals | 79c | 3,491$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.57 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 52c | 3,333$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.27 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Sabres | 3c | 3,076$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 80c | 3,063$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.84 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sabres | 47c | 3,005$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.92 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sabres | 51c | 2,859$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.43 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 34c | 2,723$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.35 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Capitals | 49c | 2,500$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.27 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Sabres | 51c | 2,426$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.15 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 50c | 2,216$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.64 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Sabres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Sabres | 17c | 1,918$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.17 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sabres | 30c | 1,892$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.53 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 76c | 1,818$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.89 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Sabres | 24c | 1,776$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Sabres | 51c | 1,750$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sabres | 14c | 1,652$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Sabres | 51c | 1,564$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.64 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sabres | 29c | 1,396$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.16 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sabres | 50c | 1,395$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.36 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…3a8abacked Capitals | 65c | 1,371$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Sabres | 51c | 1,252$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.52 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 51c | 1,171$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4d…f089backed Capitals | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sabres | 51c | 1,072$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.71 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sabres | 24c | 1,030$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Capitals | 46c | 1,013$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.76 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Capitals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sabres | 53c | 950$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Capitals | 66c | 802.77$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.33 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Sabres | 38c | 774.19$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sabres | 26c | 707.32$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Sabres | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…11bcbacked Sabres | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals | 48c | 651.73$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.9 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 33c | 631.78$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sabres | 34c | 624.3$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.49 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8502backed Sabres | 51c | 601.96$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Sabres | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Capitals | 47c | 589.01$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.18 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Capitals | 48c | 570$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Sabres | 52c | 554.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.59 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Capitals | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Capitals | 76c | 510.19$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Capitals | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Capitals | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Sabres | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Sabres | 51c | 492$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sabres | 23c | 467.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sabres | 39c | 450.23$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Sabres | 10c | 427.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Sabres | 51c | 401.08$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…6ca2backed Sabres | 52c | 399.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Sabres | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Capitals | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 167 | 66.5%111 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Capitals | 78c | 361.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Sabres | 24c | 357.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Capitals | 50c | 345.36$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Capitals | 48c | 302.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Sabres | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Capitals | 68c | 293.38$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Sabres | 41c | 281.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Sabres | 43c | 279.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Sabres | 52c | 271.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Capitals | 49c | 267.24$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…90f6backed Sabres | 51c | 262.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.88 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Capitals | 48c | 261.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.71 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Sabres | 12c | 214.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Sabres | 15c | 212.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Sabres | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4312…452cbacked Sabres | 54c | 206.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Capitals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…9b83backed Capitals | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…36cdbacked Sabres | 54c | 202.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Capitals | 49c | 202.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Sabres | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 303 | 65.7%199 W · 104 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Capitalsthis page
- Sabres vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.