Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad8c4df2ddbcc70355d4d748436f8db2dbdedeb0476483acd29de540c346861c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Zero Tenacity, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 2,489$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.92 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1win | 59c | 1,383$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.37 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…294abacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed 1win | 62c | 998.86$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.3 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 58c | 922.85$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.28 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 799.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 676.3$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.3 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…3293backed 1win | 63c | 660$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 499.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 1win | 61c | 459.81$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked 1win | 57c | 455.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.82 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Zero Tenacity | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed 1win | 61c | 397.07$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.86 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 32c | 299.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked 1win | 78c | 256.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 172$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Zero Tenacity | 42c | 165$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 100.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 1win | 61c | 90.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed 1win | 77c | 77.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed 1win | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed 1win | 75c | 67.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed 1win | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed 1win | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1win | 61c | 46.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed 1win | 63c | 43.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…52c8backed 1win | 52c | 42.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 42.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed 1win | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 38.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed 1win | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed 1win | 62c | 34.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed 1win | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed 1win | 59c | 33.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5097…1d03backed 1win | 75c | 33.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed 1win | 75c | 32.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked 1win | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed 1win | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked 1win | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed 1win | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…dee2backed 1win | 53c | 30.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…e6cabacked 1win | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…a25dbacked 1win | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked 1win | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed 1win | 80c | 22.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked 1win | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…2b44backed 1win | 68c | 17.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed 1win | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.