TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof Team Yandex, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed OG46c21,690$9,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,693.2633746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked OG47c12,537$5,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,705.779245.7%42 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex53c9,697$5,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,113.811,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Team Yandex48c8,187$3,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,933.4715047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Yandex57c6,975$3,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,957.017562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked OG39c6,505$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.655157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex42c6,235$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.362,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Team Yandex1c5,555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.77449.1%4 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-81.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex42c4,553$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.673841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex50c3,837$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.991,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex50c3,124$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.191,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Team Yandex66c2,601$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.047665.8%50 W · 26 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed OG36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.9916142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Yandex64c2,455$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.0711253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2312…016fbacked Team Yandex60c2,041$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed OG41c1,652$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.3454445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed OG33c1,442$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.1446535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Team Yandex40c1,424$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.5519242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Yandex59c1,419$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Yandex4c1,207$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5214121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Yandex12c1,047$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4814940.9%61 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked OG37c1,041$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.467440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked OG41c1,007$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed OG31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6904245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked OG63c917.3$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.417444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed OG35c902.86$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.864245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed OG39c767.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.9333644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe2d…77b4backed OG37c748.08$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.084757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed OG67c718.21$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2160349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d97…f2bebacked OG41c704.71$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.964854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Team Yandex64c686$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.921833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Team Yandex20c684.68$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6118143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked OG42c643.4$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.142737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed OG39c642.88$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8847660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930b…d91cbacked Team Yandex22c600$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Yandex36c587.9$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2341655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c4…09a3backed OG40c553.43$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.051942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Team Yandex63c550.77$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3468543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Yandex62c540$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.87357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…6333backed Team Yandex52c540$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4f…f1e0backed Team Yandex42c531.63$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Team Yandex64c504.87$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.126850%34 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Yandex60c500.63$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8913251.5%68 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed OG40c500$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.918554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Yandex62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31036054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d81…294abacked Team Yandex60c499.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked OG41c495.35$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.8518053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed OG36c487.09$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6949133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex32c481.55$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6266662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Team Yandex53c437.14$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2311052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex31c421.89$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.742,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a0…9fcdbacked Team Yandex67c418.3$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.61080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Team Yandex67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2685850%29 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a64…767fbacked Team Yandex64c390$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed OG39c387.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.167944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Team Yandex41c366.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Yandex46c329.13$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.747748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Yandex66c316.91$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.734443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed OG57c307.33$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2734063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Yandex45c299.23$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5153757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed OG57c288.95$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.564163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fad…eee9backed OG42c288.33$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.442433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f10…ef9abacked Team Yandex60c262$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2ae…fbf2backed Team Yandex61c259.48$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.281770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed OG40c252.8$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6823050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa420…35bbbacked Team Yandex49c249.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.72437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed OG32c247.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4841050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Team Yandex62c240$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.622845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked OG33c233.78$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6385851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…4210backed OG42c210.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.11952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed OG80c205$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0526661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked OG44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11279341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed OG37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12629550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex21c193.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.041,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked OG36c193.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5912843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked Team Yandex23c188.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.581838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Team Yandex62c185.67$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11546664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c5…a861backed Team Yandex25c176.19$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Team Yandex66c174.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.256547.7%31 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex19c170.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7477458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x260b…1ab1backed Team Yandex60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Yandex61c167.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4931245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9147…baccbacked OG42c166.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.676043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb187…bbe1backed Team Yandex65c166.3$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.761546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…191bbacked Team Yandex16c161.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91560%3 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick14cpaid+350%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Team Yandex60c158.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9541248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Yandex17c146.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.595841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked OG69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.938061.3%49 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed OG53c142.34$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9417152%89 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Yandex39c142.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8754753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed OG42c139$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.394136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Team Yandex24c129.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.279343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x479b…7235backed Team Yandex57c129.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.794045%18 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Team Yandex60c129.65$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9318075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex62c126.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6829245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa49…6330backed Team Yandex65c123.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011157.7%64 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8db7…5143backed Team Yandex63c119.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a7…4293backed OG74c112.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.34535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc85d…6832backed Team Yandex40c110.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5412438.7%48 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aed…eb43backed Team Yandex62c109.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.