Champions League · resolved market
Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85ca75b0adad859523569ae4779fd70c55b9a197c58308611f0cbabae1a953dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 34c | 1,655$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +172.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,348$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 43c | 682$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 43c | 666$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed No | 66c | 573$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed No | 66c | 559$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…70f8backed Yes | 73c | 549.89$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 66c | 523$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 70c | 470.25$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fcd2backed Yes | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 33c | 288.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…116abacked No | 40c | 264.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…740dbacked No | 40c | 264.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…669dbacked No | 40c | 263.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…5195backed No | 40c | 261.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…1ea4backed No | 40c | 260.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…43b6backed No | 40c | 260.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…e22ebacked No | 40c | 259.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d6…a834backed No | 40c | 258.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…f70ebacked No | 40c | 258.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2447backed No | 40c | 257.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…ba2cbacked No | 40c | 257.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…9113backed No | 40c | 256.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f1…3b22backed No | 40c | 256.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…99dfbacked No | 40c | 254.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…4c4abacked No | 40c | 253.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88b…4bc6backed No | 40c | 252.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…304fbacked No | 40c | 250.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…0754backed No | 40c | 248.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8602…fd48backed No | 40c | 248.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…5bb4backed No | 40c | 248.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…866fbacked No | 40c | 247.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ef9ebacked No | 40c | 245.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…ec92backed Yes | 72c | 244.77$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f25…4938backed No | 40c | 244.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…0142backed No | 40c | 239.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…6a96backed No | 40c | 239.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…3ff5backed No | 40c | 233.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca45…8af9backed No | 40c | 232.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…0b41backed No | 40c | 230.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…eeeabacked No | 40c | 230.42$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…2b84backed No | 40c | 225.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…8f51backed No | 14c | 216.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 200.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 13c | 127.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 55c | 106.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed No | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed No | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 15c | 97.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…f86fbacked No | 54c | 92.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked No | 52c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 46c | 81.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 78c | 74.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 71c | 68.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 66.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed Yes | 18c | 66.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…ec9ebacked No | 51c | 47.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…5a2abacked No | 26c | 42.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 78c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…54dbbacked Yes | 69c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…d3a5backed Yes | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Alexis Mac Allister record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Fermín López record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Julian Alvarez record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappé record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Phil Foden record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Victor Osimhen record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.