World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8b5284544c6ff85948a925b1a9a3a9e3b1683cdec2c4344438a03b6544bf3b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $775,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $775,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 63c | 15,292$9,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,657.9 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 36c | 15,152$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,435.97 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 11c | 14,292$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,671.73 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 30c | 12,087$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,437.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 0c | 10,640$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7ec8backed Yes | 62c | 9,770$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…0b5cbacked Yes | 77c | 9,029$6,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 8c | 9,021$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,256.09 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 10c | 7,522$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,794.22 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed No | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a0…8b02backed Yes | 6c | 7,469$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,040.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +480.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be4…009abacked Yes | 20c | 6,997$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,606.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…44fabacked Yes | 24c | 6,500$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 44c | 6,343$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.9 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 7c | 6,060$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640.1 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed Yes | 79c | 5,760$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 15c | 5,419$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.65 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 42c | 4,958$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 65c | 4,363$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 76c | 3,825$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.34 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…2dedbacked Yes | 10c | 3,672$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 53c | 3,533$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.9 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a6…8b84backed Yes | 79c | 3,456$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.09 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…6e6dbacked Yes | 53c | 3,289$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed Yes | 37c | 3,206$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…5d56backed Yes | 23c | 3,193$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +341%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 15c | 3,169$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.53 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…ea89backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.26 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…db17backed Yes | 54c | 2,940$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027d…6a30backed Yes | 8c | 2,910$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,198%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…bf17backed No | 35c | 2,786$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Yes | 52c | 2,668$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 38c | 2,641$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 55c | 2,600$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 48c | 2,590$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked Yes | 46c | 2,552$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,477$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 57c | 2,351$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.67 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed Yes | 60c | 2,279$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed Yes | 17c | 2,230$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…1d94backed No | 26c | 2,100$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c029backed Yes | 41c | 2,041$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +173.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…68eebacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,981$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.29 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…2e05backed No | 18c | 1,973$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,969$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked Yes | 36c | 1,892$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 24c | 1,870$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.35 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,855$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,800$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 34c | 1,795$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.3 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed Yes | 38c | 1,761$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 6c | 1,706$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +900%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 48c | 1,702$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.81 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 23c | 1,579$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.24 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed Yes | 62c | 1,550$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…1d43backed Yes | 14c | 1,546$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 79c | 1,516$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes | 20c | 1,466$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,447$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +567.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 55c | 1,425$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,420$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked Yes | 57c | 1,401$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…b2e8backed Yes | 45c | 1,378$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…c3cabacked Yes | 47c | 1,304$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.05 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…e601backed No | 29c | 1,219$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed Yes | 10c | 1,213$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…cbddbacked Yes | 53c | 1,152$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…50ecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,140$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 33c | 1,100$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.51 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…d2b1backed Yes | 10c | 1,088$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,080$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.28 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 20c | 1,062$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 10c | 1,052$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes | 10c | 1,048$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…a56fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,019$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdf…0ec1backed Yes | 2c | 1,004$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +2,410.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,003$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…0731backed Yes | 13c | 1,002$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.07 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 49c | 999.75$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.47 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 10c | 994$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes | 20c | 989$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1f…f3c4backed Yes | 20c | 976.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed Yes | 42c | 976.26$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 54c | 968.25$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.08 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 70c | 962.98$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed Yes | 10c | 953$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +403.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed Yes | 10c | 948$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +176.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb2…745abacked Yes | 13c | 940.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 32c | 936.63$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.73 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…2febbacked Yes | 75c | 931.88$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked No | 66c | 928.17$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…38f5backed No | 50c | 917.53$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed Yes | 20c | 885$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 20c | 883$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea02…23d1backed Yes | 6c | 877.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +274.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?this page
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 70% and 75%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.