World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3507d3a6f4a6c49972549255accd4e49e0c3d039cac1b2927a876ca243684f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa3a…2e05backed Yes | 4c | 40,899$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb66…a175backed Yes | 8c | 28,577$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 5c | 24,355$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.01 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…95dcbacked Yes | 6c | 23,100$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 14,762$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 0c | 10,283$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…fe0fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 25c | 8,665$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.27 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 4c | 7,966$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.9 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 5c | 5,913$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.78 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…af66backed Yes | 6c | 4,872$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,656$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…cda6backed Yes | 3c | 3,370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked Yes | 5c | 3,300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 69c | 3,289$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 6c | 3,288$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…42b7backed Yes | 2c | 3,209$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 3,150$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 3,110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 77c | 3,024$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,907$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea02…23d1backed Yes | 3c | 2,535$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +274.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,386$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.43 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 6c | 2,360$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked Yes | 58c | 2,294$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.16 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…bec0backed Yes | 72c | 2,042$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 10c | 2,027$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 9c | 1,665$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7c…b695backed Yes | 6c | 1,625$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…d013backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 11c | 1,271$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,234$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +567.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c4…feaebacked Yes | 4c | 1,004$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…f700backed Yes | 10c | 1,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76d…9e18backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…e4a8backed Yes | 9c | 943.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +409.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…8a35backed Yes | 21c | 694.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51a…2665backed Yes | 4c | 690.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 1c | 672.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 80c | 651$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…cae1backed Yes | 12c | 622$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be4…009abacked Yes | 4c | 618$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…31bbbacked Yes | 16c | 605$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…33e4backed No | 70c | 583.19$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 3c | 568.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…66b9backed Yes | 8c | 544.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 2c | 508.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 67c | 500$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 7c | 499.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…f963backed Yes | 15c | 481$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 79c | 458.08$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 4c | 448.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed No | 80c | 438.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Yes | 10c | 433$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…0680backed Yes | 12c | 422$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 39c | 410.07$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed No | 74c | 391$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…b648backed Yes | 26c | 389$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…074cbacked Yes | 5c | 377.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…2dccbacked Yes | 11c | 376$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 3c | 356.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…8397backed Yes | 4c | 353$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdf…0ec1backed Yes | 4c | 338.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +2,410.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed No | 74c | 337$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd7…32d9backed Yes | 11c | 336$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…c59fbacked Yes | 20c | 335$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Yes | 26c | 333$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +145%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed Yes | 26c | 332$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…1fb3backed No | 74c | 328$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Yes | 20c | 316$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534c…dbb4backed Yes | 12c | 308$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c24…ae45backed Yes | 7c | 296.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…4c66backed Yes | 15c | 294$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…140ebacked Yes | 15c | 294$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked Yes | 67c | 290$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb55…347ebacked Yes | 7c | 287.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…43e7backed Yes | 15c | 278.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…82ffbacked Yes | 12c | 278$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…6116backed Yes | 12c | 278$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…c707backed Yes | 16c | 276$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…a918backed Yes | 15c | 270.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed No | 79c | 266$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…b217backed Yes | 21c | 266$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…de2cbacked Yes | 28c | 263$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 9c | 261.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…e194backed Yes | 13c | 260.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…d558backed Yes | 8c | 254.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…b5d3backed Yes | 16c | 249.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed No | 34c | 237$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…adebbacked Yes | 17c | 228$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…45a2backed Yes | 17c | 228$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 45c | 224$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…42cbbacked Yes | 15c | 224$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Yes | 9c | 221.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 220.73$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…8eb6backed Yes | 6c | 220.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…cd57backed Yes | 7c | 212.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?this page
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 70% and 75%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.