World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f8b16de1a2779f18666c120f4ade9669ba17db89149ebc0d76843ca18aacaa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb719…b584backed Yes | 0c | 11,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 41c | 5,629$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.13 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 21c | 5,088$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.44 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 69c | 4,450$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.22 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…249abacked No | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 76c | 2,662$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b1…38f5backed Yes | 55c | 2,511$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 73c | 2,497$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 54c | 2,350$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76d…9e18backed Yes | 76c | 2,171$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Yes | 50c | 1,818$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 50c | 1,812$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…ee38backed No | 42c | 1,800$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked No | 50c | 1,780$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked Yes | 45c | 1,723$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 15c | 1,627$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.79 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 54c | 1,543$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.42 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 33c | 1,456$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.48 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,406$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.42 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…10fcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,400$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…b7c0backed Yes | 65c | 1,319$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 75c | 1,313$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.28 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 65c | 1,300$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 78c | 1,276$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Yes | 14c | 1,266$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed Yes | 50c | 1,225$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 47c | 1,191$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed No | 37c | 1,179$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed No | 50c | 1,168$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 54c | 1,138$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed Yes | 60c | 1,130$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,083$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 54c | 1,071$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.6 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 65c | 1,056$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1f…f3c4backed Yes | 10c | 1,021$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…fcecbacked No | 50c | 992$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 35c | 979.65$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.42 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…62ecbacked No | 50c | 954$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 65c | 944$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed No | 35c | 935$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 35c | 920$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea02…23d1backed Yes | 23c | 890.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.39 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +274.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…cb83backed No | 1c | 884$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +7,592.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…0d4cbacked Yes | 50c | 883$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…3929backed Yes | 65c | 876$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +218.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Yes | 50c | 858$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 846.18$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.53 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 19c | 843$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…2f62backed Yes | 21c | 801$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked Yes | 50c | 798$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 71c | 785$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked No | 35c | 781$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed No | 74c | 778.61$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed Yes | 48c | 773$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…c0a4backed No | 52c | 768.38$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde62…64f6backed Yes | 48c | 757$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed No | 50c | 747$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +403.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x610f…1edabacked Yes | 50c | 736$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…63b6backed No | 50c | 731$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 37c | 726$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 50c | 724$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…33e4backed Yes | 63c | 708.53$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541a…1740backed Yes | 63c | 701$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…2867backed No | 50c | 696$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed No | 48c | 677$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…db64backed Yes | 50c | 667$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 6c | 650$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…bd84backed Yes | 65c | 649$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 66c | 646$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed No | 50c | 646$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked No | 35c | 641$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed Yes | 50c | 640$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed Yes | 52c | 639.45$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 26c | 630$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.35 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…c665backed Yes | 48c | 624.84$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 66c | 619.06$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.96 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7e…7dfdbacked Yes | 50c | 617$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed No | 40c | 611$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed No | 29c | 606$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed No | 50c | 605$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed Yes | 18c | 600$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 27c | 595.14$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 35c | 585.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed No | 48c | 576$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 35c | 569$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed Yes | 65c | 566$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 35c | 562$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed No | 42c | 551$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 30c | 540.13$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.21 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Yes | 63c | 536$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 11c | 534$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed No | 52c | 533$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed No | 35c | 526$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 55c | 524.24$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.13 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…4674backed No | 35c | 524$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed No | 31c | 522$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dae1backed No | 50c | 515$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?this page
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Yes won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 70% and 75%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.