TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rotterdam Open: Hugo Grenier vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Struffof Grenier, Struff
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$410,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$444,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Grenier30c278,203$83,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,308.8610931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Struff70c201,251$140,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,375.4211242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Struff70c44,819$31,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,448.5422037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Struff70c21,550$15,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,464.874944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grenier10c18,046$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.822,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Grenier30c8,367$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016746.1%77 W · 90 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Struff71c8,000$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3202245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Grenier30c5,111$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.3244754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Struff72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Struff80c3,415$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.5713260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grenier15c3,413$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.92,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Grenier2c1,876$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.092,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Grenier17c1,671$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6425433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Grenier17c1,608$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2782,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grenier4c1,502$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.646,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Struff71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Grenier30c1,225$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3735628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Grenier31c1,111$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.4131753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Grenier30c1,110$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Struff70c999$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.778052.7%411 W · 369 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Grenier30c837.48$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.244330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Struff71c801.41$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4114568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Grenier18c728.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6388446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Struff72c696.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.286648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Struff78c687.35$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.863,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Struff73c649.25$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2530741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Grenier30c623.33$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1871,25756.6%711 W · 546 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Grenier10c595.13$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9284736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Grenier30c524.52$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5412313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grenier13c494.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.797,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Grenier30c415.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.622634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Struff69c389.94$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.21,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked Struff71c380$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa206…0f9bbacked Grenier27c377.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.211553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Struff69c309.7$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0176140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Grenier6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.918636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe55…48fabacked Struff71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick66cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Struff72c276.02$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9939872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe891…8117backed Struff71c220$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.81764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Struff72c201.25$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7485742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f42…249ebacked Struff72c201.06$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.595100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Struff71c200.66$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.195156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Grenier7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Grenier31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.62133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Struff76c154$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.371,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Struff72c138.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3852460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Struff73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9922953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Grenier30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011428.9%33 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…7a67backed Grenier12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Grenier31c120.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.58756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Struff71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.858753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Struff71c109.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8665652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Grenier22c108.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.366,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Struff71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6328263.8%180 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Grenier30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Grenier29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Struff78c99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Struff71c94.07$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2852557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed Grenier30c86.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262528%7 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Struff72c85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Grenier31c84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.628445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0b2…abc9backed Grenier30c83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Struff71c77.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.281,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Struff71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.428848.9%43 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Struff71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.428547.1%40 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad3e…2c44backed Grenier30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa946…2b45backed Struff72c65.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.23560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1a…db57backed Grenier20c64.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.19229.1%2 W · 20 L-6.4wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-79.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Grenier21c63.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed Grenier20c60.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.051040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+84.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Struff70c60.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1713138.9%51 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca4…e4e7backed Struff71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.348350.6%42 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Grenier27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.517260.5%104 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Struff72c49.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144050%20 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x612e…8427backed Grenier30c48.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.361631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2139backed Grenier30c43.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc766…c4d9backed Struff70c42.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.712369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1eb9…afd9backed Struff71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Struff70c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.621072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Struff70c41.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc8…8eacbacked Struff78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Struff72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.24367.4%29 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf9…1f3bbacked Grenier33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x093f…4ddfbacked Struff71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb723…9129backed Struff71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.217459.5%44 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Struff71c31.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2228462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Struff77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.957252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338f…c6dabacked Struff70c29.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.995100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe42b…a60fbacked Struff71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.179460.6%57 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Struff71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c77…1d14backed Struff71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Struff72c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Struff71c22.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5424563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Struff71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Struff71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.132133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e88…3189backed Struff68c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.592277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6fc…07e3backed Struff71c20.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f1…6bc6backed Struff71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9369…8b85backed Struff71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe4…52d7backed Struff71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.