Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Struff (-1.5) vs Grenier (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x028ed5b5d830b474318109ec8b1c33ab7fd40392cfd5bf3a5ba6ad09a5573f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Struffof Struff, Grenier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Grenier | 2c | 950.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Struff | 44c | 590.41$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.41 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Grenier | 57c | 581.39$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.39 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Grenier | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Struff | 41c | 169.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Grenier | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grenier | 23c | 140.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Grenier | 21c | 105.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Struff | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Grenier | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Grenier | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Struff | 49c | 30.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Struff | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Struff | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Struff (-1.5) vs Grenier (+1.5)this page
- Grenier vs. Struff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Rotterdam Open: Hugo Grenier vs Jan-Lennard StruffStruff won
- Set 1 Winner: Grenier vs StruffStruff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.