Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fdc34c746672d7585cc32930fc5ac35fb57f0f1ee41dc268515065cef433166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof PARIVISION, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $625,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $719,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 54c | 109,868$59,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,735.08 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 47c | 68,762$32,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,451.03 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed PARIVISION | 36c | 50,039$18,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,166.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 46c | 40,982$18,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,147.76 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 48c | 38,105$18,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,697.32 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed PARIVISION | 51c | 23,991$12,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,196.05 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 52c | 14,034$7,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.63 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked PARIVISION | 52c | 12,900$6,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,708 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed PARIVISION | 59c | 10,864$6,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,410.75 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Falcons | 56c | 8,839$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.3 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 7,946$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 7,531$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.13 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Falcons | 46c | 6,924$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.07 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 6,127$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.88 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed PARIVISION | 53c | 5,831$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.78 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 4,920$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.35 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 4,878$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.46 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 4,687$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.16 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 4,654$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.43 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 4,641$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.81 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 49c | 4,595$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.68 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 4,574$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.64 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION | 53c | 4,530$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.93 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 4,526$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.88 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 46c | 4,246$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.13 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 46c | 4,199$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.56 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 53c | 4,114$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.76 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 51c | 4,007$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.88 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 4,001$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.43 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 3,976$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.31 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed PARIVISION | 41c | 3,935$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.37 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 3,795$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.26 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 3,784$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.47 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Falcons | 78c | 3,774$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.61 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 44c | 3,748$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.89 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 3,696$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.09 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 3,663$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.27 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 3,660$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.17 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked PARIVISION | 52c | 3,564$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.14 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…3c8fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 3,560$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Falcons | 47c | 3,502$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.07 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 49c | 3,392$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.55 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION | 50c | 3,197$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.27 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed PARIVISION | 56c | 3,063$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.3 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 43c | 3,050$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.83 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Falcons | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,999$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.98 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed PARIVISION | 57c | 2,907$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.11 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed PARIVISION | 54c | 2,772$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.18 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked PARIVISION | 55c | 2,692$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.68 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 45c | 2,609$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.8 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 48c | 2,571$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.02 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 54c | 2,495$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.27 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 50c | 2,188$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…a903backed PARIVISION | 56c | 2,145$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.53 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Falcons | 42c | 2,126$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.66 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Falcons | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.99 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,907$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.54 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,845$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.55 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,841$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.85 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,806$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.44 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed PARIVISION | 27c | 1,792$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PARIVISION | 54c | 1,734$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.57 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,708$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.58 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 1,601$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.42 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,584$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.08 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,520$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.27 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed PARIVISION | 2c | 1,350$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Falcons | 77c | 1,338$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.59 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,336$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.84 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,248$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.85 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 1,234$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,081$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.99 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,073$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.19 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,068$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.48 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked PARIVISION | 3c | 1,048$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,023$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.47 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,021$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.18 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 44c | 989.75$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.31 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…a05fbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Falcons | 45c | 985.46$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Falcons | 58c | 974.81$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.32 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PARIVISION | 46c | 939.58$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.67 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 53c | 920.59$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.65 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION | 23c | 913.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.64 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Team Falcons | 48c | 908.25$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.29 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 890.56$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.28 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons | 48c | 881.08$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.7 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed PARIVISION | 55c | 880.13$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.07 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed PARIVISION | 52c | 868.35$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.28 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Team Falcons | 52c | 811.86$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.53 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.