Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7723f0d47f9de3d9b124dcc3e561928ec6481d4d5495534cf54785974f7ec961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof PARIVISION, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,072,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,390,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,072,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 62c | 233,980$144,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,255.81 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 38c | 181,712$69,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,786.67 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 56c | 73,560$41,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,324.31 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 43c | 42,788$18,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,441.98 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed PARIVISION | 67c | 36,474$24,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,506.92 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 39c | 28,902$11,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,630.22 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 28,093$10,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,108.56 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 66c | 16,384$10,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,860.29 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…a907backed PARIVISION | 57c | 16,237$9,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,254.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 14,454$5,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,763.53 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 30c | 14,366$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,082.14 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 32c | 13,255$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,009.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 57c | 12,486$7,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,117.2 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 12,401$7,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.3 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…a981backed PARIVISION | 71c | 11,513$8,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,170.97 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Falcons | 39c | 10,593$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,467.18 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 44c | 10,295$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,794 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 10,182$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,996.11 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 10,132$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.64 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed PARIVISION | 56c | 8,795$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.14 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 8,590$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397.05 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 30c | 8,360$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,870.49 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Falcons | 37c | 8,264$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,242.75 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 7,910$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540.28 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION | 63c | 7,910$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983.42 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked PARIVISION | 70c | 7,786$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.59 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 7,104$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.55 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 42c | 7,087$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.5 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PARIVISION | 60c | 6,185$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.45 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Falcons | 28c | 6,068$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.95 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 46c | 6,000$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed PARIVISION | 67c | 5,830$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.85 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed PARIVISION | 70c | 5,756$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.29 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed PARIVISION | 58c | 5,617$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.23 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 5,286$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.32 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Falcons | 34c | 5,259$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.48 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Falcons | 42c | 5,247$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.71 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 5,151$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.13 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 5,108$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.2 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons | 43c | 4,992$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.43 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed PARIVISION | 55c | 4,950$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION | 61c | 4,762$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.97 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 4,400$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.99 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 4,248$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.28 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons | 42c | 4,091$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.36 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Falcons | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 24c | 3,957$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.59 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 3,950$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.82 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Falcons | 36c | 3,872$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.77 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Team Falcons | 46c | 3,800$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 59c | 3,692$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.23 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fc41backed PARIVISION | 60c | 3,359$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 41c | 3,283$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.96 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 3,188$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.65 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION | 61c | 3,090$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.9 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 3,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PARIVISION | 51c | 2,972$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.94 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 2,863$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.62 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked PARIVISION | 56c | 2,677$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.25 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,653$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed PARIVISION | 51c | 2,550$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.25 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 56c | 2,506$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.28 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed PARIVISION | 62c | 2,433$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.45 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4ca5backed PARIVISION | 40c | 2,412$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.78 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION | 63c | 2,390$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.99 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed PARIVISION | 63c | 2,328$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.7 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 38c | 2,289$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.12 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed PARIVISION | 61c | 2,197$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.38 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 9c | 2,186$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.75 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 59c | 2,158$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.66 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 63c | 2,151$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.23 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 39c | 2,115$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.87 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 2,088$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.96 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Team Falcons | 38c | 2,026$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.57 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed PARIVISION | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Team Falcons | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,877$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.69 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…019bbacked PARIVISION | 31c | 1,855$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 1,817$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.81 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,802$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.16 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,750$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.49 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,743$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.44 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons | 44c | 1,682$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.79 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,643$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.48 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,562$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.91 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 1,532$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.75 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,531$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.33 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,468$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.96 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,364$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,256$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.29 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…c44ebacked PARIVISION | 63c | 1,242$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,231$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.45 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,220$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.39 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 1,204$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.37 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,197$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.42 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.