UFC · resolved market
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ecdd3da466c80690d97c732e8a0b14481690d14c62bb99ee364ef39c7d887cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed No | 40c | 6,408$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b5b4backed No | 17c | 2,302$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked No | 40c | 1,968$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 39c | 1,139$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 61c | 1,083$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.65 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…60c2backed Yes | 60c | 1,067$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…0131backed Yes | 63c | 1,007$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.71 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…0d17backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 65c | 999.96$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…04ebbacked Yes | 70c | 999.96$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…1c09backed Yes | 53c | 911.4$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…43c0backed Yes | 75c | 777.03$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…7667backed Yes | 48c | 608.5$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 59c | 606.93$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afa…d7e5backed Yes | 67c | 583.14$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed No | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed No | 37c | 540.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…942fbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed No | 37c | 493.12$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Yes | 62c | 478.83$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed No | 42c | 475.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…38edbacked No | 35c | 417.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 65c | 399.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…0c19backed No | 33c | 390.28$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 51c | 369.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 57c | 351$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +344.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea16…4bd8backed Yes | 69c | 335.65$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…8378backed No | 30c | 332$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 25c | 299.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 33c | 299.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed No | 30c | 295.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 71c | 288.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…badebacked Yes | 69c | 287.11$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…7c7bbacked Yes | 70c | 286.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…23b3backed Yes | 69c | 286.32$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked No | 29c | 278.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 62c | 269.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7573…11dcbacked No | 37c | 269.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…aca9backed Yes | 69c | 251.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 30c | 249.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Yes | 60c | 245.15$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…16cebacked No | 36c | 241.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…288fbacked Yes | 69c | 240.19$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 234.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…9c8dbacked Yes | 65c | 233.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…c202backed No | 34c | 233.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked No | 44c | 226.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…4cb2backed No | 48c | 202.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked No | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 62c | 199.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed No | 40c | 194.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Yes | 73c | 189.17$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed No | 35c | 171.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked No | 32c | 163.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 30c | 156.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed No | 38c | 152.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.46per pick | 57cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 63c | 150.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked No | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 40c | 147.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…d626backed Yes | 68c | 146.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…29cbbacked No | 35c | 143.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…27e8backed No | 35c | 143.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 70c | 143.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +207%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed Yes | 69c | 141.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 64c | 141.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Yes | 67c | 136.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…c648backed Yes | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…f9afbacked Yes | 53c | 134.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…5ab9backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…649dbacked Yes | 57c | 133.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4304…f6adbacked No | 38c | 131.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 31c | 126$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 59c | 125.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…b8cdbacked No | 42c | 120.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663f…5e71backed No | 39c | 117.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb191…9ec3backed Yes | 67c | 112.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…6fe5backed Yes | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +210.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…b33bbacked No | 35c | 108.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 65c | 106.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…1e20backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e7…c343backed Yes | 71c | 104.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…b248backed No | 34c | 103.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf368…0be9backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…4f61backed No | 47c | 101.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…c278backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c5…6593backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…89babacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…9dedbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked No | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d14…b248backed No | 41c | 98.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…9b51backed No | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Yes | 70c | 87.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…8d9dbacked No | 37c | 86.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…777cbacked Yes | 69c | 85.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…ce0dbacked Yes | 70c | 84.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.