TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5452…d448backed No42c3,316$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.395662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes64c1,582$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.292245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes62c1,289$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-12.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No40c1,106$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.3820843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7726…71d2backed Yes30c992.03$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d9…0e84backed Yes33c890$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes61c818.11$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes39c809.77$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.658939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005334%18 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No39c688.5$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.641827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No41c621.39$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.121968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa23b…af4bbacked Yes14c549.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.52437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d2…7ad6backed No48c513.36$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26810065%65 W · 35 L+20.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+66.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes16c506.73$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6414429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa370…f228backed No78c471.85$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No57c427.72$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes36c372.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.32420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31eb…30a6backed Yes16c338.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.74825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No52c317.96$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1510652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Yes4c280.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d8b…c132backed Yes60c271.66$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No61c239.72$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9211845.8%54 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa75…a864backed No79c222$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No78c199.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe4d…d39bbacked Yes43c190$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6cb…3f69backed No65c182.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.762055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No38c180$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes38c168.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.081520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b19…5dccbacked Yes60c167.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4886…f7cdbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes63c159.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No52c156.18$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.882060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Yes21c148.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.731758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2b…a666backed Yes14c135.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed No72c134.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.911747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Yes8c130$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45022%11 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f8…7985backed Yes19c128.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes30c125.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.226325.4%16 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No76c119.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.849164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x35af…ee56backed Yes25c118.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed No78c117.32$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.324555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c88…187bbacked Yes60c105$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes35c102.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.452842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed No61c99.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d3a…4ec2backed Yes35c95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bd…7f75backed No77c91.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.021145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x997e…3553backed Yes39c88.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fb…c998backed Yes24c82.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No39c82.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.72556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d6b…5cd9backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed No52c76.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…12b9backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No51c68.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.712744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe711…6b84backed Yes43c64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c78…b145backed Yes42c60.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b1…799abacked Yes60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c3…2da0backed Yes69c57.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes20c55.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed No52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+129.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed No43c53.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x286f…82a5backed No77c52.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.411163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3f…e38fbacked Yes38c51.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3f…a5eebacked Yes25c50.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a07…9dedbacked No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae1…6abdbacked Yes38c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No68c49.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.74271.4%30 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0690…8821backed Yes61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked Yes65c47.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311729.4%5 W · 12 L-5.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-57.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9ab7…d2fcbacked Yes63c47.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…b955backed No43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa470…5283backed Yes34c46.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-82.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Yes54c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb70…01c0backed Yes45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8ab…f25bbacked Yes60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30a2…deacbacked Yes65c40.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf030…54c9backed Yes30c40.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Yes26c40.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6210142.6%43 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18ed…590abacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb5…16ffbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x080a…ee79backed Yes64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+101%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26e5…da90backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa3…4899backed Yes67c35.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a7…d755backed No65c31.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda1…1d22backed Yes65c30.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cfc…8a8dbacked Yes68c29.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No78c28.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.159935.4%35 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e7…3182backed No77c26.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7099…c3c2backed No77c25.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb53…2860backed Yes57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No79c23.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed No65c20.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.254134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b3…931cbacked No80c20.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x390e…44e1backed Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ab…3e26backed Yes61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.