F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18ed0b8c7bd24d9af8630a4235874a655588efeeb7891854878ec8d8dbd369f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 30c | 1,739$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.82 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 70c | 969.73$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 29c | 960.84$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 30c | 540.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…30a6backed No | 15c | 378.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…f228backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 24c | 256.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 17c | 194.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed No | 31c | 180.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…f374backed Yes | 70c | 157.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 135.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked No | 39c | 109$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Yes | 70c | 75.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…0969backed No | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed No | 31c | 64.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…87acbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 22c | 46.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ab…f25bbacked No | 56c | 44.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…21e4backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes | 70c | 42.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…d2fcbacked Yes | 71c | 42.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 64c | 41.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 25c | 40.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 27c | 37.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa3…4899backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Yes | 67c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…1e2ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…5eb8backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…5f7cbacked Yes | 80c | 25.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…7242backed No | 43c | 23.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…ee79backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 71c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…187bbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 70c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
- Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.