Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on March 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57dd3fa88429f41297e5e75fda45cde354785d8e375a27c847929d7619a741ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,079 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78c3…7003backed No | 1c | 2,563$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc215…c9bcbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 73c | 638.07$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.27 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 35c | 570.61$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 15c | 533.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 32c | 255.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 32c | 248.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed No | 33c | 228.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 80c | 204.53$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 79c | 191.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…d405backed No | 45c | 167.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e3…518bbacked No | 31c | 160.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 69c | 154$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…e855backed Yes | 66c | 150.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…5a8bbacked Yes | 63c | 145.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed No | 33c | 141.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 60c | 123.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 22c | 120.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 24c | 119.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 95 | 23.2%22 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 46c | 114.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…ebc4backed Yes | 77c | 111$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 68c | 107.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 77c | 105.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 69c | 105.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 69c | 103.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 25c | 100.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes | 70c | 100.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 45c | 99.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…029cbacked No | 21c | 96.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…2e5fbacked No | 28c | 94.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe599…0dd3backed No | 31c | 90.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…cf0fbacked No | 21c | 89.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 55c | 79.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 75c | 75.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Yes | 71c | 70.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed Yes | 71c | 68.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 464 | 23.5%109 W · 355 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…ec5dbacked No | 36c | 64.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…ca3fbacked Yes | 64c | 64.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e99…9584backed No | 21c | 60.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…cce8backed No | 27c | 55.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…4bc2backed No | 30c | 53.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…593fbacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…b54abacked Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 48.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 48.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 46.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…d328backed No | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed Yes | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…e9f4backed Yes | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…1143backed No | 24c | 41.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…84d5backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 97 | 78.4%76 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…c015backed Yes | 70c | 35.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…cc76backed No | 29c | 34.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Yes | 69c | 33.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 69c | 30.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…a837backed No | 44c | 30.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 76c | 30.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 111 | 72.1%80 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…2ffcbacked Yes | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…aff3backed No | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…2b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 26.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 69c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…a709backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…1dfbbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…4a18backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…10fabacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…a758backed Yes | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…5256backed Yes | 73c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 74c | 18.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…d64fbacked Yes | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 191 | 71.7%137 W · 54 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…f64ebacked Yes | 75c | 17.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…ba43backed Yes | 80c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…4e84backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on March 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or below on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.