Fifa International · resolved market
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b6814f70be2a434540b1f3ac0beec2879133a7017d461e88c3a4267d1080706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes | 31c | 4,581$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.37 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 67c | 3,053$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.48 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 70c | 1,655$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.23 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Yes | 48c | 839.9$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 52c | 789.79$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.42 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 6c | 552.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.59 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 72c | 499.38$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 70c | 369.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…ab4fbacked Yes | 29c | 346.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeae…d0a2backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 66c | 261.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 36c | 167.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 64c | 148.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 73c | 140.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…48c7backed Yes | 42c | 118.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7976…e3c4backed Yes | 29c | 104.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 53c | 98.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 29c | 94.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 50c | 83.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…8dd7backed Yes | 34c | 74.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…8ab8backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 46c | 58.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…8a6abacked Yes | 35c | 56.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…0837backed Yes | 29c | 51.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…6636backed No | 72c | 40.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 55c | 40.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 31.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 70c | 30.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…f13bbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 48c | 23.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 68c | 22.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 65 | 78.5%51 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 3+ goalsNo won
- Borja Iglesias: 3+ goalsNo won
- Borja Iglesias: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nawaf Al Aqidi: 2+ savesNo won
- Nawaf Al Aqidi: 3+ savesNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Álex Grimaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Álex Grimaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Álex Grimaldo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.