Fifa International · resolved market
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9156ef574d5248c17b0655e534680b37efc458a0e3f064b93b646909cfd3373c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 5c | 2,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…7c09backed Yes | 1c | 1,972$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 781 | 0.5%4 W · 777 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…ac9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,429$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 6c | 615.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 15c | 410$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 6c | 401.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 6c | 386.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…2032backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 232.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 22c | 218.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…223ebacked Yes | 27c | 185.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…7137backed Yes | 9c | 143.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ed…03ebbacked No | 73c | 120.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…526dbacked Yes | 10c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…09c8backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…24dfbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 16c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…d80cbacked Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d720backed Yes | 22c | 68.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…aee9backed Yes | 27c | 55.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed No | 71c | 40.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 3+ goalsNo won
- Borja Iglesias: 3+ goalsNo won
- Borja Iglesias: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nawaf Al Aqidi: 2+ savesNo won
- Nawaf Al Aqidi: 3+ savesNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Álex Grimaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Álex Grimaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Álex Grimaldo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.