Fifa International · resolved market
Nico Williams: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03966b860b20a42d99a2ebbded6a4fb150fe3a93a680f75d1794f277d8a39250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 26c | 3,310$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.32 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 72c | 3,154$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.28 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 465.16$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 77c | 450.63$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 28c | 345.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 71c | 311.05$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…ab4fbacked Yes | 39c | 258.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 41c | 243.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 66c | 238.15$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…f703backed Yes | 32c | 237$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 73c | 210.94$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa778…46febacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 71c | 198.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…b303backed Yes | 29c | 126$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 78c | 113$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 27c | 104.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed No | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 53 | 86.8%46 W · 7 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes | 31c | 80.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 32c | 76.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…d3f5backed Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 18c | 74.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 80c | 63.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes | 34c | 60.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 49c | 54.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 51.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes | 30c | 50.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…e8debacked No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…5cadbacked Yes | 38c | 39.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…4cf8backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 75c | 26.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed No | 76c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alex Baena: 3+ goalsNo won
- Borja Iglesias: 3+ goalsNo won
- Borja Iglesias: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dani Olmo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Fabián Ruiz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gavi Paez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nawaf Al Aqidi: 2+ savesNo won
- Nawaf Al Aqidi: 3+ savesNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Víctor Muñoz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Álex Grimaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Álex Grimaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Álex Grimaldo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.