Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7294e62c740abc47fb752ada68db3c76afa6d05ac92fdc502f05c43ddc3cdb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 50,000$5,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,274.3 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 10c | 50,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.98 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 24,927$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 10c | 16,385$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.5 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 15,306$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.47 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 10c | 5,190$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.96 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 9c | 4,953$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 10c | 4,868$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.76 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 9c | 2,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 12c | 2,762$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.02 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,855$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fc…510dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,402$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 10c | 964.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 11c | 954.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…ad85backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 9c | 710.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 10c | 652.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes | 10c | 650$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes | 10c | 618.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 97 | 17.5%17 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 13c | 573.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes | 10c | 569.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…4ae4backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…e7debacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 12c | 498.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 10c | 498.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…2ad7backed Yes | 10c | 460$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…26bdbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…6156backed Yes | 10c | 438$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 10c | 434.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 10c | 396$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 10c | 388.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 10c | 369$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…94b9backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 7c | 361.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 11c | 354.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…87d5backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 10c | 329.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 9c | 317.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…07d7backed Yes | 9c | 316.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 9c | 313$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 10c | 311.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…c7f7backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…6128backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…95f3backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…f4f7backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…b8e6backed Yes | 10c | 294.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 11c | 285$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 10c | 254$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 252$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 10c | 251.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b7…b0b3backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7666…9fc0backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 10c | 226.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…9d22backed Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 11c | 209.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 9c | 204.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…6548backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…3c36backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…692ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…3579backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…5041backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…cb03backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…08a8backed Yes | 10c | 192.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…f53abacked Yes | 10c | 192.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?Yes won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.