TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes11c50,000$5,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.32,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9838817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c24,927$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes10c16,385$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.52,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c15,306$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes10c5,190$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9617733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes9c4,953$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…b750backed Yes10c4,868$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.768010%8 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c3,636$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes9c2,800$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25212015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes12c2,762$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.0233235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes9c2,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes10c1,855$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fc…510dbacked Yes11c1,402$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.23244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…ead3backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-43.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.1%52 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100419.8%4 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes10c964.3$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.43826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes11c954.55$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10538817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac35…ad85backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007320.5%15 W · 58 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9935110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes9c710.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9645627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704725.5%12 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes10c652.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.182,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes10c650$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6512615.1%19 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes10c618.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.879717.5%17 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes13c573.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1562633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes10c569.8$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9824246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50345.9%2 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fd…b2f0backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…4ae4backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010422.1%23 W · 81 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4c…e7debacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes12c498.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes10c498.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8644524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8a…2ad7backed Yes10c460$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467025.7%18 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012015.8%19 W · 101 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e7f…26bdbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012124%29 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020630.1%62 W · 144 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7572…6156backed Yes10c438$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8385.3%2 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes10c434.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.611,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes8c399.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3240515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes10c396$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.647321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45ff…6412backed Yes10c388.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036530.7%112 W · 253 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes10c369$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.61,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcab2…94b9backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011230.4%34 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes7c361.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes11c354.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914231%44 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x686f…87d5backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes10c329.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.948937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes9c317.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xded4…07d7backed Yes9c316.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes9c313$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5198439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes10c311.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016030.6%49 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8933…630dbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012622.2%28 W · 98 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43e9…c7f7backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.958149.4%40 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5f…6128backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30637.9%5 W · 58 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd744…95f3backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…f4f7backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…b8e6backed Yes10c294.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.421526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes11c285$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3534231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes10c254$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.416019.4%31 W · 129 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes11c252$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7292732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes10c251.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b7…b0b3backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7666…9fc0backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes10c226.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.523,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2233915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032b…9d22backed Yes10c210$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213312.1%4 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-69.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Yes10c210$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes10c210$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120911%23 W · 186 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes11c209.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236320.6%13 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes9c204.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.632,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e3…6548backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012840.6%52 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd5…bb74backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206710.4%7 W · 60 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe831…3c36backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208534.1%29 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017723.7%42 W · 135 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011422.8%26 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc086…692ebacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203562.9%22 W · 13 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e8…3579backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026738.2%102 W · 165 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a8…63efbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209817.3%17 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick17cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63e3…08a8backed Yes10c192.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291010%1 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-86.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43bd…f53abacked Yes10c192.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.285827.6%16 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.