Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x035873295cf1011f9f3d2d2b19257497e8b57a7d8f81c56c25886f98c85a97b4

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $150,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $160,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,075 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	6c	15,592$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.58	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	11,427$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.21	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes	6c	8,730$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	5c	6,327$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.37	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa902…4bcabacked Yes	6c	6,100$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	5c	4,155$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.21	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	6c	3,496$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe04b…3ec7backed Yes	6c	3,357$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes	6c	3,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	156	16%25 W · 131 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes	5c	3,117$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.12	355	14.4%51 W · 304 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Yes	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes	6c	2,809$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.56	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes	6c	2,267$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	485	26.8%130 W · 355 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes	6c	1,702$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	138	47.1%65 W · 73 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34dc…6d14backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d5…c33cbacked Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes	5c	1,567$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	126	15.1%19 W · 107 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	5c	1,252$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.6	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf46…bca7backed Yes	5c	1,138$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x542b…8b2ebacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf64b…e382backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd999…dbc6backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked Yes	6c	777$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	18cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	207	25.6%53 W · 154 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bad…4ee8backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	15cpaid	+129.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes	6c	400$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.58	66	7.6%5 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	302	15.2%46 W · 256 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Yes	5c	333$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	76	17.1%13 W · 63 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes	5c	320$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	209	11%23 W · 186 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	6c	318.47$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x977f…0981backed Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	143	23.1%33 W · 110 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a1…2b1abacked Yes	5c	260$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7525…ad62backed Yes	5c	260$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	132	15.2%20 W · 112 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes	5c	250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	303	21.5%65 W · 238 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb04f…15a8backed Yes	5c	240$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a87…611fbacked Yes	5c	222.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf58f…26f9backed Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5276…800dbacked Yes	5c	205.86$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe830…5212backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3a6…dff7backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	91	36.3%33 W · 58 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?Yes won
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event