TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$326,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,907 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes12c51,997$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.133818.4%7 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c29,157$3,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,767.098,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c19,595$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400.94,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes16c12,799$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes11c12,128$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.032,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes11c8,200$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.71,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes11c5,455$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c5,091$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5606729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes23c5,083$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.5725124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd8c…b750backed Yes11c4,426$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.98010%8 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes16c3,677$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.172,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes20c2,520$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes20c2,332$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.273536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes15c2,136$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1551429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes11c1,864$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20548526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes17c1,820$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.321,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Yes23c1,739$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes22c1,486$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32016825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes14c1,332$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.262633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed No80c1,200$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.029662.5%60 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6242…841bbacked Yes18c1,200$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1117735%62 W · 115 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a26…46c6backed Yes18c1,094$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8027…4fe3backed Yes11c1,045$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2658…fb0ebacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes15c954.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009725.8%25 W · 72 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe04b…3ec7backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick15cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011619.8%23 W · 93 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.1%52 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9935110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes16c689.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.962,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No80c671.66$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4522634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3985…9f1dbacked Yes17c626.47$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.57115.5%11 W · 60 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes12c601.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.171567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2878…466dbacked Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005032%16 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes16c545$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5258530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes15c510.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.916019.4%31 W · 129 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes11c479.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7444524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012015.8%19 W · 101 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes13c458.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012615.1%19 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51a…7e42backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505012%6 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012124%29 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac4c…e7debacked Yes11c427.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes19c424.06$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x995e…4ae4backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010422.1%23 W · 81 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504725.5%12 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d99…6d28backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ad…d9e3backed Yes11c409.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456216.1%10 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe27…e960backed Yes12c402$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.242615.4%4 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes23c378$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9445740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5f…6128backed Yes16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60637.9%5 W · 58 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes12c358.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4333915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2f…cf58backed Yes23c347.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-76%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315226.3%40 W · 112 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3330215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63e0…3241backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019042.6%81 W · 109 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x657d…bda5backed Yes15c250.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.613613.9%5 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2305…04f2backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404415.9%7 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45ff…6412backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036530.7%112 W · 253 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254916.3%8 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038933.2%129 W · 260 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes14c210$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.45320.8%11 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd3…3af0backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes19c206.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.232,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes12c202.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.448334.2%165 W · 318 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94c8…84a0backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2226738.2%102 W · 165 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7160…cce2backed Yes24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes13c197.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.662,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8df…8a93backed Yes23c191.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc1…0646backed No80c186.84$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.76955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe21…1e66backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207815.4%12 W · 66 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019428.9%56 W · 138 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdb…0371backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209017.8%16 W · 74 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91c…0be3backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc086…692ebacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203562.9%22 W · 13 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9dfb…ad35backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017820.8%37 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a8…63efbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209817.3%17 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick17cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489e…3e34backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes11c175$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2512914.7%19 W · 110 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa504…c842backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207651.3%39 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3704…4e2fbacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305024%12 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-44%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc17e…d497backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203839.5%15 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+98.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.