Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a52ac9e27e5293db89fce27233d394f3fdc6fde2168dec264e3a71922d7f0bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 12c | 51,997$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.13 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 29,157$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 19,595$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.9 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 16c | 12,799$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 12,128$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.03 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 8,200$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.7 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 11c | 5,455$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 5,091$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 23c | 5,083$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.57 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 11c | 4,426$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.9 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 16c | 3,677$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.17 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 20c | 2,520$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 20c | 2,332$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 15c | 2,136$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.15 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,864$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 17c | 1,820$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.32 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Yes | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 22c | 1,486$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 14c | 1,332$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.2 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 80c | 1,200$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.02 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…841bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.11 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…46c6backed Yes | 18c | 1,094$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…4fe3backed Yes | 11c | 1,045$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…fb0ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 15c | 954.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…3ec7backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 16c | 689.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 80c | 671.66$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3985…9f1dbacked Yes | 17c | 626.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 12c | 601.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…466dbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 16c | 545$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 15c | 510.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 11c | 479.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes | 13c | 458.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…e7debacked Yes | 11c | 427.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 19c | 424.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…c814backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…4ae4backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…6d28backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ad…d9e3backed Yes | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…e960backed Yes | 12c | 402$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 23c | 378$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…6128backed Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 12c | 358.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…cf58backed Yes | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…3241backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…bda5backed Yes | 15c | 250.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…04f2backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes | 14c | 210$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…3af0backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 19c | 206.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 12c | 202.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…84a0backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…5041backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 13c | 197.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Yes | 23c | 191.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…0646backed No | 80c | 186.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…1e66backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 15.4%12 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0be3backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…692ebacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…ad35backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489e…3e34backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 11c | 175$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa504…c842backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…4e2fbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…d497backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?Yes won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.