Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe27dbe9eb309125287aab7d2e842de837fe0cdaee8881c15aaf97d64fe0db23f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 67,237$46,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,809.04 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 25,482$10,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,076.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 5c | 8,507$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,055.41 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 51c | 6,027$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.61 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 5,997$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.41 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 48c | 5,892$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.48 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 5,648$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,248.21 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 14c | 4,977$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.24 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 4,859$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 4,588$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.54 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes | 6c | 3,300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.98 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 14c | 2,879$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.17 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…8041backed Yes | 64c | 2,475$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.91 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,055$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.69 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…02b4backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 6c | 1,999$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.66 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…3ec7backed Yes | 5c | 1,907$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.45 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 59c | 1,879$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.47 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 5c | 1,872$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.52 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 6c | 1,756$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.4 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…904cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,595$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.9 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…aaffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,415$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.09 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,399$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.93 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 15c | 1,375$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.61 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 13c | 1,352$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.67 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,329$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.64 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 7c | 1,260$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.15 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 5c | 1,055$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.14 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 44c | 1,055$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.23 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 34c | 1,000$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…dc69backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 6c | 985$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.84 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 943.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.4 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b4…213abacked Yes | 5c | 918.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.43 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 6c | 862.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.07 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 6c | 850.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.7 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 62c | 825.27$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.69 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…466dbacked Yes | 13c | 787.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.05 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 6c | 779.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.11 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 58c | 761.79$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.7 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 5c | 709.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.63 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 5c | 702.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.49 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 49c | 667.25$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 36c | 630.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 63c | 622.65$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.28 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 2c | 605$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…164dbacked Yes | 17c | 602.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.41 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 21c | 600$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.98 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 6c | 597.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 59c | 597.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.38 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 6c | 559.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.32 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a1…63aebacked Yes | 72c | 558.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 6c | 534$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.63 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 66c | 531.69$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.44 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 13c | 523.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.48 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 5c | 500$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Yes | 5c | 499.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Yes | 5c | 499.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.85 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 13c | 472.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.38 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 41c | 470.02$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.64 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…0646backed No | 49c | 467.84$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 5c | 433.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.46 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 72c | 408.09$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 11c | 395.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.7 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Yes | 6c | 385.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.19 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 48c | 376.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 36c | 374.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…2e6dbacked Yes | 6c | 357.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.14 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 14c | 355.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.49 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…6cd6backed Yes | 56c | 350.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.98 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 8c | 329.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.41 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 50c | 314.02$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 5c | 306.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.12 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…8962backed Yes | 67c | 300.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…e695backed Yes | 5c | 250$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +349.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…c657backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 5c | 249.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 12c | 248.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.34 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Yes | 5c | 230.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2812…b20abacked Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +419.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 6c | 214.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc719…1993backed Yes | 5c | 203.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 13cpaid | +693.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 56c | 202.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…5632backed Yes | 6c | 190$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 9c | 185.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.55 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…40d2backed Yes | 14c | 179.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c75…452abacked Yes | 11c | 175.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…08e3backed Yes | 20c | 175.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 59c | 168.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…e4e7backed Yes | 61c | 164.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 68c | 160$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 48c | 155.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Yes | 78c | 153.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.