Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x917a10217554981b854e303cc42c3989fbae86eb32b91513e0ce30afca0a717d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 7c | 50,000$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,604.34 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 41,206$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…0145backed Yes | 8c | 21,183$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.15 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 8c | 9,765$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.67 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…a57bbacked Yes | 7c | 9,019$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 8c | 5,254$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,198$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.05 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 3,019$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.01 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…3d2fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,875$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 8c | 2,536$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,360$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…55d5backed Yes | 7c | 2,161$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 1,495$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 7c | 1,453$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 10c | 1,396$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,342$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,282$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 8c | 1,266$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 8c | 1,242$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fc…510dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…8b2ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4830…f86bbacked Yes | 7c | 999.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 8c | 987.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes | 7c | 868.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 97 | 17.5%17 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes | 7c | 757.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 29.7%71 W · 168 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 7c | 750$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 7c | 746.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 7c | 746.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 7c | 735.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 8c | 700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…9c54backed Yes | 7c | 666.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…4ba6backed Yes | 8c | 660.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…26bdbacked Yes | 8c | 657.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes | 8c | 657.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4153…8d29backed Yes | 8c | 588.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…6cebbacked Yes | 8c | 529.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 17.1%26 W · 126 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 522.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 4c | 508.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 6c | 491.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 7c | 488.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 7c | 434.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 8c | 390$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 8c | 384.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…af2cbacked Yes | 8c | 379.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 27.2%49 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 7c | 370$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…4fe3backed Yes | 8c | 352.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…08b4backed Yes | 11c | 340.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…dfffbacked Yes | 6c | 336.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…3579backed Yes | 7c | 303.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…84a0backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…21b2backed Yes | 6c | 299$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab66…b416backed Yes | 5c | 294.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 7c | 289.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 8c | 288$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 7c | 274.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 7c | 266.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 6c | 265.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 8c | 256.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 8c | 256.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 8c | 253.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…6633backed Yes | 8c | 240.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 8c | 222.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 7c | 220$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 8c | 214.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 9c | 213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…9d22backed Yes | 7c | 199.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…9f74backed Yes | 15c | 197.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…1a4cbacked Yes | 6c | 189.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 8c | 184.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 11c | 183.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…6b9abacked Yes | 8c | 157.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Yes | 8c | 153.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…913bbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…d267backed Yes | 7c | 145.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…e859backed Yes | 8c | 135.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…4cdbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…e94bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e2…484dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f5…10a8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…50a4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…1178backed Yes | 14c | 105.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 16c | 95.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 91.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?Yes won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.