TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes7c50,000$3,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,604.342,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c41,206$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…0145backed Yes8c21,183$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.153923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes8c9,765$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.671567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7685…a57bbacked Yes7c9,019$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.3170%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes8c5,254$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes8c4,198$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.05513.9%2 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c3,019$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac26…3d2fbacked Yes7c2,875$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.262416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes8c2,536$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7329017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes6c2,360$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.791,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d3f…55d5backed Yes7c2,161$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes8c2,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes8c1,495$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a6…3463backed Yes7c1,453$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4511723.1%27 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes10c1,396$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7762633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes7c1,342$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes8c1,282$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100419.8%4 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes8c1,266$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51a…7e42backed Yes8c1,242$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.95012%6 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fc…510dbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x542b…8b2ebacked Yes7c1,000$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4830…f86bbacked Yes7c999.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656113.1%8 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes8c987.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7722914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes7c868.22$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.789717.5%17 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes7c757.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes7c750$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes7c746.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503511.4%4 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes7c746.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504725.5%12 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes7c735.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes8c700$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.638817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Yes7c666.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012517.6%22 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb5…4ba6backed Yes8c660.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e7f…26bdbacked Yes8c657.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes8c657.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes7c600$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4153…8d29backed Yes8c588.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…6cebbacked Yes8c529.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015217.1%26 W · 126 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes7c522.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes4c508.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5150833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35345.9%2 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes6c491.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes7c488.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7144524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes7c434.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes8c390$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8134231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8933…630dbacked Yes8c384.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012622.2%28 W · 98 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Yes8c379.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018027.2%49 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes7c370$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0556410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8027…4fe3backed Yes8c352.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f47…08b4backed Yes11c340.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.153622.2%8 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cea…dfffbacked Yes6c336.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-57.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e8…3579backed Yes7c303.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c8…84a0backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb1…9fbbbacked Yes7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16224.2%15 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeac5…21b2backed Yes6c299$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-75.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab66…b416backed Yes5c294.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes7c289.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011422.8%26 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes8c288$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7547321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Yes7c274.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.119251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes7c266.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes6c265.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9648937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes8c256.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a8…63efbacked Yes8c256.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209817.3%17 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick17cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd5…bb74backed Yes8c253.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206710.4%7 W · 60 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd056…6633backed Yes8c240.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes8c222.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716019.4%31 W · 129 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes7c220$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6225510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes8c214.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1828425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes9c213$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032b…9d22backed Yes7c199.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133312.1%4 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-69.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf310…9f74backed Yes15c197.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308933.7%30 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe3c…1a4cbacked Yes6c189.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff7…f598backed Yes8c184.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761005%5 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes11c183.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.482,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1201…6b9abacked Yes8c157.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210132.7%33 W · 68 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861b…d8cabacked Yes8c153.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…913bbacked Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127412.2%9 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…d267backed Yes7c145.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Yes8c135.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.725735%90 W · 167 L-1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf92c…4cdbbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-90.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca5…e94bbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03e2…484dbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f5…10a8backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee12…50a4backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104122%9 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecc1…1178backed Yes14c105.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes16c95.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes11c91.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.