Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db9c054941c1da0195b0563f1bf4f46d7164f32363547378d737732256e46f6

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $102,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,338 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	7c	13,327$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.34	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes	5c	8,387$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	8c	7,017$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.47	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f00…e36bbacked Yes	13c	3,900$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.2	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes	13c	3,126$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes	5c	2,205$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	485	26.8%130 W · 355 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes	5c	1,855$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	226	26.5%60 W · 166 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes	10c	1,500$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	218	7.3%16 W · 202 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes	5c	1,277$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.31	275	20.4%56 W · 219 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	9c	1,188$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.76	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes	2c	1,067$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.34	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabc3…10aebacked Yes	5c	961.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	12c	888.32$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.79	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	7c	824.1$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.29	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes	21c	717.7$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	316	11.4%36 W · 280 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2878…466dbacked Yes	14c	704.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec70…ab91backed Yes	15c	687.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes	15c	686.95$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	345	37.1%128 W · 217 L	-14.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x709f…02fabacked Yes	12c	648.1$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+212.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes	16c	639.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	120	15.8%19 W · 101 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes	5c	611.11$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	152	26.3%40 W · 112 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes	5c	565$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.38	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes	5c	555.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	11c	489.3$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.57	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9442…2338backed Yes	5c	481$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes	42c	475.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes	5c	403.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-34%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Yes	17c	388.52$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.47	221	35.3%78 W · 143 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes	5c	333.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.53	160	19.4%31 W · 129 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	11c	289.2$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	5c	288.46$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes	5c	277.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	300	11.3%34 W · 266 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	5c	275.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…913bbacked Yes	5c	270.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48f0…76f1backed Yes	19c	263.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes	5c	260$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes	19c	250.83$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes	20c	250$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	200	13.5%27 W · 173 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes	20c	245.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	229	14%32 W · 197 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes	5c	227.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	355	14.4%51 W · 304 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes	8c	223$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.39	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No	78c	222.82$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.36	226	34.1%77 W · 149 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	5c	222.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf76a…71e6backed Yes	5c	220$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	195	20%39 W · 156 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdc…6a24backed Yes	14c	214.77$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes	10c	214.45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	173	29.5%51 W · 122 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes	18c	211.57$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.58	138	47.1%65 W · 73 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes	14c	209.79$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	157	19.1%30 W · 127 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	129	14.7%19 W · 110 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…e7febacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x559e…760dbacked Yes	15c	200$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	26cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	206	26.2%54 W · 152 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ed…6019backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a61…0ef0backed Yes	10c	193.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	103	20.4%21 W · 82 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes	13c	173$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.63	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	19c	171.44$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.52	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xabd5…bb74backed Yes	14c	143.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	10.4%7 W · 60 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x238c…4399backed Yes	14c	138.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	40.4%76 W · 112 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	15c	137.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7def…ba49backed Yes	8c	128.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Yes	16c	128.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	160	30.6%49 W · 111 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7390…30a3backed Yes	21c	119.62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Yes	12c	118$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	14c	106$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd28…449dbacked Yes	15c	102.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ac…4a21backed Yes	16c	102.72$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	170	20%34 W · 136 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	326	39%127 W · 199 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	21c	93.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	139	22.3%31 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa288…7e52backed Yes	20c	73.65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc2…b720backed Yes	20c	73.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8772…e179backed Yes	21c	72.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6343…943bbacked Yes	18c	70$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes	20c	59.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	251	15.5%39 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	79c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.55	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?Yes won
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Germany?No won
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event