TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8772…e179

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+565%+$1,835.8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.11
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.59
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.09
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.12
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.29
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Japan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$16.48
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$14.67
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+155.2%+$34.14
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+219.2%+$54.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$104.98
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+165.4%+$43.19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$26.75
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$19.64
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$39.32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.91
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+288.2%+$57.63
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.76
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+211%+$42.2
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.43
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$25.09
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.9
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$36.62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+355%+$354.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$27.73
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$24.25
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+253.8%+$35.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$48.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104%+$18.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-81.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.02
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+106%+$602.53
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.55
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.67
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vijay Singh make the cut at the 2026 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$15.59
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$15
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$30.63
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.66
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$13.6
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$20.14
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.4%+$10.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.