TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$406,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$452,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c119,062$50,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,281.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over54c50,000$27,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,849.242,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over54c48,712$26,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,410.5923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Under47c36,828$17,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,244.726634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over67c27,905$18,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,322.942,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over58c24,964$14,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,397.594,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c18,407$7,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,252.094,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Under45c12,740$5,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,732.998631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under48c6,899$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over61c6,721$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.722,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c6,309$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.122,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over54c5,007$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.328337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c4,977$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.632,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over60c4,691$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.6912254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over52c4,660$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.815843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over55c4,040$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81817636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Over52c3,897$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.566132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under25c3,451$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.772,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over74c3,381$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.7265737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over47c3,161$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.2765036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c3,094$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under45c2,930$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.546546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c2,383$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.451,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ffe…be6fbacked Under47c2,355$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.841553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over43c2,300$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31137754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over65c2,030$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.0973536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over52c2,029$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.0312248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd190…2650backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over76c2,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c1,964$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.831,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.186543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under19c1,801$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c1,714$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.381,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed Under50c1,665$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.53551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over56c1,574$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.191,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under25c1,415$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.252,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Over61c1,385$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.985662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Over55c1,362$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.113151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over54c1,341$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.082,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over79c1,324$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.135251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over49c1,200$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.221,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over55c1,100$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49456151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7a…2703backed Under46c1,091$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a8…3592backed Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010043%43 W · 57 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over51c1,000$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.811,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over54c999$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.5445445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under45c979.99$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44119750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9311643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over51c867.47$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.631,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over53c823.03$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.0323736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under25c787.47$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.192,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under22c768$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.172,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over53c763$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.021,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Over55c751.11$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3382552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b9…a8e7backed Over79c642.63$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.954658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.918367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over55c627.02$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.132,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62de…e70bbacked Over80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over54c619.18$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.242,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over49c607.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.5913754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over69c582.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.3228251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under59c575.61$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6179149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcad4…317abacked Over80c545.46$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6810246.1%47 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Over55c544.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2535110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Over56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7117735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over60c520$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.41,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.62,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under5c499.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.995549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under12c472.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.68615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under13c445.81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.145145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under46c430.74$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1448937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over54c413$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9811642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under46c398.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2646550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x861b…d8cabacked Over50c392.88$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.884924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2a…5b84backed Over54c387.18$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.184358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under51c384$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8424950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc316…31abbacked Over54c364.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.761428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6421052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9253…0baebacked Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.888055%44 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under35c338.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7126344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under44c336.69$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1486452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over62c331.78$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.552,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x408c…2e26backed Over54c321.55$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.755754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over53c318.93$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.831,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over53c310.16$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.431,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.128052.5%42 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf341…9bd8backed Over66c304.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9616454.3%89 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…e1c3backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over55c294.85$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6812048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over40c290$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17416725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc72d…0d45backed Over56c269.32$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x043e…cd64backed Over55c268.73$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.933240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6af…c64abacked Over77c254.03$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.988158%47 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over55c250.91$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9121747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over56c246.91$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9151045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e9…9756backed Over61c244$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9516147.2%76 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.