TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$247,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under18c33,756$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,150.424,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under16c20,506$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.13,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under15c19,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under16c10,950$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.271,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over79c10,373$8,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.271,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9817748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under21c9,906$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.2666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under9c5,217$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under18c4,509$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.6723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x097e…833abacked Over79c3,510$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under27c3,131$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.0929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under19c2,566$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.1344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Under16c2,375$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-52.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under15c2,053$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.111,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over80c1,081$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under17c820$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.224136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under21c705.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8345536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17522153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under18c666.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.624246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under22c560.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4938745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under15c554.55$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.191,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under19c542.4$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4762633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under27c507.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under19c453.51$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1743139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Over74c401.72$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4510253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over79c345.42$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5429556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015846.2%73 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Over76c328.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9513268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under14c321.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6943230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under26c319.6$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3921044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under10c304.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6171939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under8c300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under16c280.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3718628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Under10c280$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under11c267$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.892,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf215…79ccbacked Under7c261.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.547733.8%26 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under24c253.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.961,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under26c251.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6633245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Over80c250.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0248055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under17c243.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.382,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over79c207.45$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5612653.2%67 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1520…3a4cbacked Under13c190.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8745548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c95…01c4backed Under16c179.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7110427.9%29 W · 75 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c37…d887backed Under16c179.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.710427.9%29 W · 75 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over79c178$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5877051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4b…6cbdbacked Under16c176.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2510527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc08f…fbe2backed Under16c176.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2210527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7710…8417backed Under16c176.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2210527.6%29 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdcd…ea10backed Under16c171.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4213428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea74…76a7backed Under16c171$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3613428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8581…a2d5backed Under16c169.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1413428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdceb…47d9backed Under16c169.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1213428.4%38 W · 96 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaff6…b357backed Under16c167.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7813528.1%38 W · 97 L-15.1wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Over79c165.96$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8518761%114 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under10c147$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.112,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under8c147$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over79c141.68$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.651,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Over79c138.3$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0419754.3%107 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5863152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf341…9bd8backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8716454.3%89 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over75c129.87$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4721958.9%129 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a1…5782backed Under20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Over79c125$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5541551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over79c109.83$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5698439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Over79c103.72$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.786852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Under16c103.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4913130.5%40 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2118371%130 W · 53 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under26c98.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6636543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under14c94.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4334845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under15c91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.658651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9315…8225backed Under17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over77c86.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Under24c86.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0234540.3%139 W · 206 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc9…1ca3backed Over80c83.82$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.826264.5%40 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over78c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…36debacked Under16c74.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9312236.1%44 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Under28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209733%32 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Under17c63.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2334551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.823736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Under21c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under22c58.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.831,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under18c56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0878927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over79c53.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.330547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x487f…1cfebacked Over80c52.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…c991backed Over78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2810938.5%42 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Over80c51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222452.7%118 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b92…b468backed Over79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f9…9848backed Over80c50.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2622553.8%121 W · 104 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd338…ae5bbacked Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1312557.6%72 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbea0…f92abacked Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ec…da98backed Over76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4710353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c3…2ccbbacked Over80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.59323.7%22 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Over79c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3537352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over79c34.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0750146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over78c33.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3215751%80 W · 77 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over78c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.047142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.