Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x367e614305a424da0c78be2df07327e194b9bf3cb24a485a971150b8d85b135b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 5,828$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.25 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 31c | 3,300$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 2,173$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.84 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 1,005$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Over | 33c | 1,004$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.41 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 886.93$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.96 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…315cbacked Over | 30c | 735.94$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…3579backed Over | 31c | 566.9$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.16 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 30c | 502$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Over | 38c | 380.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 32c | 367.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 68c | 288.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Over | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 35c | 249.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Over | 37c | 249.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.46 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 64c | 241.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 21c | 233.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 68c | 189.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 67c | 183.59$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 56c | 178.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 44c | 172.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…8f23backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…8dc6backed Over | 31c | 157.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 64c | 112.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 66c | 110$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 66c | 93.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 41c | 93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…3865backed Over | 37c | 90.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 32c | 87.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Over | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 36c | 67.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 69c | 64.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 36c | 46.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 35c | 39.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 249 | 47.4%118 W · 131 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 33c | 38.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…5402backed Over | 35c | 35.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 68c | 33.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…6eb8backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…ebbdbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 69c | 31.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 69c | 31.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 66c | 15.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 68c | 15.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.